Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on July 4, driven by a strengthening marine layer and onshore sea breezes that typically cap coastal maxima during early July. High pressure building inland is expected to enhance the afternoon gradient, drawing cooler Pacific air while allowing partial clearing east of Twin Peaks, where readings may briefly reach the low 70s. This setup explains the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F bin, reflecting trader assessment of microclimate variability and historical analogs showing reduced fog frequency over holiday weekends. Updated model runs through tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 4?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 4?
70-71°F 46%
68-69°F 34%
72-73°F 12%
66-67°F 3.6%
NUOVO
$25,616 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,616 Vol.
4 lug 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
3%
76°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 46%
68-69°F 34%
72-73°F 12%
66-67°F 3.6%
NUOVO
$25,616 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,616 Vol.
4 lug 2026
57°F or below
$544 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$947 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,158 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$975 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$924 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$2,262 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$2,979 Vol.
34%
70-71°F
$7,344 Vol.
46%
72-73°F
$3,739 Vol.
12%
74-75°F
$1,863 Vol.
3%
76°F or higher
$2,878 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on July 4, driven by a strengthening marine layer and onshore sea breezes that typically cap coastal maxima during early July. High pressure building inland is expected to enhance the afternoon gradient, drawing cooler Pacific air while allowing partial clearing east of Twin Peaks, where readings may briefly reach the low 70s. This setup explains the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F bin, reflecting trader assessment of microclimate variability and historical analogs showing reduced fog frequency over holiday weekends. Updated model runs through tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$25,616Data di fine
4 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on July 4, driven by a strengthening marine layer and onshore sea breezes that typically cap coastal maxima during early July. High pressure building inland is expected to enhance the afternoon gradient, drawing cooler Pacific air while allowing partial clearing east of Twin Peaks, where readings may briefly reach the low 70s. This setup explains the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F bin, reflecting trader assessment of microclimate variability and historical analogs showing reduced fog frequency over holiday weekends. Updated model runs through tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,616Data di fine
4 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on July 4, driven by a strengthening marine layer and onshore sea breezes that typically cap coastal maxima during early July. High pressure building inland is expected to enhance the afternoon gradient, drawing cooler Pacific air while allowing partial clearing east of Twin Peaks, where readings may briefly reach the low 70s. This setup explains the market’s emphasis on the 70–71°F bin, reflecting trader assessment of microclimate variability and historical analogs showing reduced fog frequency over holiday weekends. Updated model runs through tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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