Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22 in a narrow band around 25–26 °C, producing the closely matched market-implied odds. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, combined with light onshore flow and possible scattered afternoon cloud cover, limits peak diurnal heating and keeps outcomes clustered near seasonal averages. Minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or wind shift explain the slim preference for 26 °C over 25 °C, while probabilities drop sharply outside 24–27 °C. Updated runs and official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service tomorrow evening will determine the final recorded maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22?
25°C 38%
26°C 37%
27°C 12%
24°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 mag 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
38%
26°C
37%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
3%
25°C 38%
26°C 37%
27°C 12%
24°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 mag 2026
19°C or below
$396 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$334 Vol.
2%
21°C
$156 Vol.
1%
22°C
$535 Vol.
2%
23°C
$11 Vol.
3%
24°C
$94 Vol.
9%
25°C
$204 Vol.
38%
26°C
$141 Vol.
37%
27°C
$91 Vol.
12%
28°C
$47 Vol.
5%
29°C or higher
$30 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22 in a narrow band around 25–26 °C, producing the closely matched market-implied odds. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, combined with light onshore flow and possible scattered afternoon cloud cover, limits peak diurnal heating and keeps outcomes clustered near seasonal averages. Minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or wind shift explain the slim preference for 26 °C over 25 °C, while probabilities drop sharply outside 24–27 °C. Updated runs and official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service tomorrow evening will determine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$2,032Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22 in a narrow band around 25–26 °C, producing the closely matched market-implied odds. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, combined with light onshore flow and possible scattered afternoon cloud cover, limits peak diurnal heating and keeps outcomes clustered near seasonal averages. Minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or wind shift explain the slim preference for 26 °C over 25 °C, while probabilities drop sharply outside 24–27 °C. Updated runs and official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service tomorrow evening will determine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,032Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22 in a narrow band around 25–26 °C, producing the closely matched market-implied odds. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, combined with light onshore flow and possible scattered afternoon cloud cover, limits peak diurnal heating and keeps outcomes clustered near seasonal averages. Minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or wind shift explain the slim preference for 26 °C over 25 °C, while probabilities drop sharply outside 24–27 °C. Updated runs and official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service tomorrow evening will determine the final recorded maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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