Recent model consensus from sources including Yr, Meteoprog, and Worldmeteo points to a maximum of 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 6, driven by northwest winds of 25–30 km/h, building high pressure near 1018–1021 hPa, and persistent cloud cover with only light showers possible. This setup follows warmer conditions on September 5 (highs near 21–22 °C) and aligns with typical early-September climatology of 16–20 °C highs, keeping 19 °C as the market leader at 43.5 % implied probability while limiting upside to 20 °C or higher. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and shower intensity sustains the 28.5 % chance at 18 °C, with resolution depending on official IMGW or airport observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 6 settembre?
19°C 44%
18°C 29%
20°C 18%
21°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
29%
19°C
44%
20°C
18%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 29%
20°C 18%
21°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$299 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$84 Vol.
4%
18°C
$501 Vol.
29%
19°C
$209 Vol.
44%
20°C
$527 Vol.
18%
21°C
$83 Vol.
5%
22°C
$48 Vol.
2%
23°C
$138 Vol.
1%
24°C o superiore
$713 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including Yr, Meteoprog, and Worldmeteo points to a maximum of 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 6, driven by northwest winds of 25–30 km/h, building high pressure near 1018–1021 hPa, and persistent cloud cover with only light showers possible. This setup follows warmer conditions on September 5 (highs near 21–22 °C) and aligns with typical early-September climatology of 16–20 °C highs, keeping 19 °C as the market leader at 43.5 % implied probability while limiting upside to 20 °C or higher. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and shower intensity sustains the 28.5 % chance at 18 °C, with resolution depending on official IMGW or airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,601Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including Yr, Meteoprog, and Worldmeteo points to a maximum of 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 6, driven by northwest winds of 25–30 km/h, building high pressure near 1018–1021 hPa, and persistent cloud cover with only light showers possible. This setup follows warmer conditions on September 5 (highs near 21–22 °C) and aligns with typical early-September climatology of 16–20 °C highs, keeping 19 °C as the market leader at 43.5 % implied probability while limiting upside to 20 °C or higher. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and shower intensity sustains the 28.5 % chance at 18 °C, with resolution depending on official IMGW or airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,601Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including Yr, Meteoprog, and Worldmeteo points to a maximum of 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 6, driven by northwest winds of 25–30 km/h, building high pressure near 1018–1021 hPa, and persistent cloud cover with only light showers possible. This setup follows warmer conditions on September 5 (highs near 21–22 °C) and aligns with typical early-September climatology of 16–20 °C highs, keeping 19 °C as the market leader at 43.5 % implied probability while limiting upside to 20 °C or higher. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and shower intensity sustains the 28.5 % chance at 18 °C, with resolution depending on official IMGW or airport observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti