The solidly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, centered in Chicago suburbs and long held by retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field that included Kat Abughazaleh and state Senator Laura Fine, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. A Republican nominee emerged from a low-visibility primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, voter registration, and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout, though none of these factors appear active in current reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-09 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
IL-09 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$28,606 Vol.
$28,606 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$28,606 Vol.
$28,606 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$17,224 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$11,382 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, centered in Chicago suburbs and long held by retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field that included Kat Abughazaleh and state Senator Laura Fine, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. A Republican nominee emerged from a low-visibility primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, voter registration, and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout, though none of these factors appear active in current reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$28,606Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, centered in Chicago suburbs and long held by retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field that included Kat Abughazaleh and state Senator Laura Fine, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. A Republican nominee emerged from a low-visibility primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, voter registration, and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout, though none of these factors appear active in current reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,606Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 9th congressional district, centered in Chicago suburbs and long held by retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary against a crowded field that included Kat Abughazaleh and state Senator Laura Fine, positioning him as the clear general-election favorite. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. A Republican nominee emerged from a low-visibility primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, voter registration, and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing toward Republicans, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout, though none of these factors appear active in current reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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