Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election place Otzma Yehudit between 6 and 9 seats, consistent with trader consensus on 6-7 and 8-9 as the most probable ranges. The party has maintained steady support amid a broader right-wing bloc deadlock, with late adjustments to its slate—including the addition of a Haredi candidate—aimed at expanding its voter base beyond core religious nationalist supporters. Attempts by the Democrats to disqualify the list on racism and anti-democratic grounds, along with coalition speculation involving Prime Minister Netanyahu and potential centrist partners, introduce uncertainty but have not materially shifted projections in the final weeks before the vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato6-7 38%
8-9 26%
4-5 17%
10+ 14%
<4
2%
4-5
17%
6-7
38%
8-9
26%
10+
17%
6-7 38%
8-9 26%
4-5 17%
10+ 14%
<4
2%
4-5
17%
6-7
38%
8-9
26%
10+
17%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election place Otzma Yehudit between 6 and 9 seats, consistent with trader consensus on 6-7 and 8-9 as the most probable ranges. The party has maintained steady support amid a broader right-wing bloc deadlock, with late adjustments to its slate—including the addition of a Haredi candidate—aimed at expanding its voter base beyond core religious nationalist supporters. Attempts by the Democrats to disqualify the list on racism and anti-democratic grounds, along with coalition speculation involving Prime Minister Netanyahu and potential centrist partners, introduce uncertainty but have not materially shifted projections in the final weeks before the vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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