Recent polls place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 23-25 Knesset seats, equivalent to roughly 19-21% of the vote ahead of the October 27 election. Support has edged higher following the party's candidate list submission and amid ongoing voter shifts away from Likud and B'Yachad. The race remains tight because multiple surveys show overlapping ranges for Yashar amid undecided voters, threshold dynamics for smaller parties, and competition within the opposition bloc. Trader consensus clusters on the 18-22% bands as these factors continue to produce modest week-to-week variation without a decisive breakout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni in Israele: Yashar vota?
22-24% 41%
<16% 38%
20-22% 38%
24%+ 33%
<16%
38%
16-18%
28%
18-20%
27%
20-22%
38%
22-24%
41%
24%+
33%
22-24% 41%
<16% 38%
20-22% 38%
24%+ 33%
<16%
38%
16-18%
28%
18-20%
27%
20-22%
38%
22-24%
41%
24%+
33%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at 23-25 Knesset seats, equivalent to roughly 19-21% of the vote ahead of the October 27 election. Support has edged higher following the party's candidate list submission and amid ongoing voter shifts away from Likud and B'Yachad. The race remains tight because multiple surveys show overlapping ranges for Yashar amid undecided voters, threshold dynamics for smaller parties, and competition within the opposition bloc. Trader consensus clusters on the 18-22% bands as these factors continue to produce modest week-to-week variation without a decisive breakout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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