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icon for Khamenei # posts 1 settembre - 8 settembre 2026?

Khamenei # posts 1 settembre - 8 settembre 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts 1 settembre - 8 settembre 2026?

Khamenei # posts 1 settembre - 8 settembre 2026?

<5 89%

15-19 18.8%

10-14 18.6%

30-34 18.4%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<5 89%

15-19 18.8%

10-14 18.6%

30-34 18.4%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<5

$268 Vol.

80%

5-9

$0 Vol.

17%

10-14

$0 Vol.

19%

15-19

$0 Vol.

19%

20-24

$0 Vol.

4%

25-29

$0 Vol.

18%

30-34

$0 Vol.

18%

35-39

$0 Vol.

2%

40-44

$8 Vol.

1%

45-49

$8 Vol.

1%

50-54

$8 Vol.

1%

55-59

$8 Vol.

1%

60+

$8 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since March 2026, maintains a low public digital profile, relying primarily on written statements disseminated through state media, Telegram channels, and occasional official X accounts rather than frequent direct posts. This pattern stems from security concerns following the 2026 conflict and his reported injuries, with no verified personal appearances or audio-visual content released since his appointment. Recent late-August 2026 messages on national unity, economic priorities, and avoiding divisive rhetoric followed the same indirect format, consistent with sparse July activity on @MKhamenei_ir. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints and historical posting rates, pricing sub-5 posts as the dominant outcome for the early-September window while assigning lower probability to higher-volume scenarios tied to major announcements or escalations.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$308
Data di fine
8 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since March 2026, maintains a low public digital profile, relying primarily on written statements disseminated through state media, Telegram channels, and occasional official X accounts rather than frequent direct posts. This pattern stems from security concerns following the 2026 conflict and his reported injuries, with no verified personal appearances or audio-visual content released since his appointment. Recent late-August 2026 messages on national unity, economic priorities, and avoiding divisive rhetoric followed the same indirect format, consistent with sparse July activity on @MKhamenei_ir. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints and historical posting rates, pricing sub-5 posts as the dominant outcome for the early-September window while assigning lower probability to higher-volume scenarios tied to major announcements or escalations.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$308
Data di fine
8 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Domande frequenti

"Khamenei # posts 1 settembre - 8 settembre 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "<5" a 80%, seguito da "10-14" a 19%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 80¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 80% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Khamenei # posts 1 settembre - 8 settembre 2026?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 29, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Khamenei # posts 1 settembre - 8 settembre 2026?", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Khamenei # posts 1 settembre - 8 settembre 2026?" è "<5" a 80%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 80% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "10-14" a 19%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Khamenei # posts 1 settembre - 8 settembre 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.