**No at 72.5% reflects trader consensus that Zehut and Amcha Yisrael will submit separate lists by the September 8, 2026 deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.** Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied since May with Michael Ben-Ari, polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains below the electoral threshold. Amcha Yisrael, launched independently by Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter on August 25 with a diverse slate including Yoseph Haddad, polls at 4–8 seats and draws from overlapping right-wing voters. Feiglin expressed interest in talks with Winter but later denied them despite a reported recording, while Netanyahu has urged smaller right-wing parties to merge or risk wasting votes. With the list-submission deadline days away and no confirmed joint negotiations or slate agreement, the fragmented right-wing field and Amcha’s standalone momentum make a combined list unlikely. Resolution will depend on the official submission to Israel’s Central Elections Committee.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
27% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
Sì
27% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**No at 72.5% reflects trader consensus that Zehut and Amcha Yisrael will submit separate lists by the September 8, 2026 deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.**
Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied since May with Michael Ben-Ari, polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains below the electoral threshold. Amcha Yisrael, launched independently by Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter on August 25 with a diverse slate including Yoseph Haddad, polls at 4–8 seats and draws from overlapping right-wing voters. Feiglin expressed interest in talks with Winter but later denied them despite a reported recording, while Netanyahu has urged smaller right-wing parties to merge or risk wasting votes.
With the list-submission deadline days away and no confirmed joint negotiations or slate agreement, the fragmented right-wing field and Amcha’s standalone momentum make a combined list unlikely. Resolution will depend on the official submission to Israel’s Central Elections Committee.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**No at 72.5% reflects trader consensus that Zehut and Amcha Yisrael will submit separate lists by the September 8, 2026 deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.**
Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied since May with Michael Ben-Ari, polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains below the electoral threshold. Amcha Yisrael, launched independently by Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter on August 25 with a diverse slate including Yoseph Haddad, polls at 4–8 seats and draws from overlapping right-wing voters. Feiglin expressed interest in talks with Winter but later denied them despite a reported recording, while Netanyahu has urged smaller right-wing parties to merge or risk wasting votes.
With the list-submission deadline days away and no confirmed joint negotiations or slate agreement, the fragmented right-wing field and Amcha’s standalone momentum make a combined list unlikely. Resolution will depend on the official submission to Israel’s Central Elections Committee.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$0Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**No at 72.5% reflects trader consensus that Zehut and Amcha Yisrael will submit separate lists by the September 8, 2026 deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.** Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied since May with Michael Ben-Ari, polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains below the electoral threshold. Amcha Yisrael, launched independently by Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter on August 25 with a diverse slate including Yoseph Haddad, polls at 4–8 seats and draws from overlapping right-wing voters. Feiglin expressed interest in talks with Winter but later denied them despite a reported recording, while Netanyahu has urged smaller right-wing parties to merge or risk wasting votes. With the list-submission deadline days away and no confirmed joint negotiations or slate agreement, the fragmented right-wing field and Amcha’s standalone momentum make a combined list unlikely. Resolution will depend on the official submission to Israel’s Central Elections Committee.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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