Zelenskyy’s posting volume on X reflects the pace of Ukraine’s wartime diplomacy and responses to Russian strikes, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to 60-119 posts for September 1-8. Recent weeks show consistent bilingual output—often separate Ukrainian and English versions plus video or photo updates—around Independence Day commemorations, the late-August Coalition of the Willing summit in Kyiv, and reports on ballistic attacks and Ukrainian long-range strikes. Ongoing front-line developments and bilateral meetings with European and U.S. partners sustain daily engagement, while the absence of a major scheduled summit inside the exact window leaves room for variability driven by new incidents or announcements. This produces a tight distribution centered on moderate-to-high activity rather than extremes, with separation likely hinging on escalation signals or breakthrough diplomatic statements before the UN General Assembly later in September.