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Politica·Krakao

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia
Politica·Krakao

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia

Łukasz Gibała 60%

Monika Piątkowska 13%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 11%

Michał Drewnicki 8.2%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Łukasz Gibała 60%

Monika Piątkowska 13%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 11%

Michał Drewnicki 8.2%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$5,802 Vol.

60%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$142 Vol.

13%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$76 Vol.

11%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$76 Vol.

8%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$198 Vol.

7%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$171 Vol.

6%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$174 Vol.

5%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$176 Vol.

5%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$133 Vol.

5%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$367 Vol.

5%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$234 Vol.

5%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$247 Vol.

4%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$217 Vol.

4%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$172 Vol.

1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$160 Vol.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$174 Vol.

1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$171 Vol.

1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race at 60% in the September 27 snap election, driven by his strong name recognition as the independent who narrowly lost the 2024 runoff and his local Kraków for Residents movement. The May 2026 recall referendum, which removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski with near-unanimous support amid discontent over fees and policy decisions, created the vacancy and boosted Gibała’s profile as a non-partisan alternative. Recent candidate confirmations, including Gibała’s early August announcement, alongside lower-priced options such as Monika Piątkowska and Daria Gosek-Popiołek, reflect fragmented support across national parties and independents in first-round polling. The market pricing aligns with trader assessments of Gibała’s base and the short campaign timeline to the vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$8,679
Data di fine
27 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race at 60% in the September 27 snap election, driven by his strong name recognition as the independent who narrowly lost the 2024 runoff and his local Kraków for Residents movement. The May 2026 recall referendum, which removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski with near-unanimous support amid discontent over fees and policy decisions, created the vacancy and boosted Gibała’s profile as a non-partisan alternative. Recent candidate confirmations, including Gibała’s early August announcement, alongside lower-priced options such as Monika Piątkowska and Daria Gosek-Popiołek, reflect fragmented support across national parties and independents in first-round polling. The market pricing aligns with trader assessments of Gibała’s base and the short campaign timeline to the vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$8,679
Data di fine
27 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Łukasz Gibała" a 60%, seguito da "Monika Piątkowska" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 60¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 60% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 6, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" è "Łukasz Gibała" a 60%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 60% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Monika Piątkowska" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.