Goldman Sachs holds the highest implied probability at 60.5% for lead-left underwriter on Anthropic’s IPO, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 30%, reflecting its edge in recent tech mandates and execution track record. Anthropic’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and July investor meetings have accelerated preparations for a potential October listing, with both banks already positioned as joint bookrunners alongside JPMorgan. Strong Q2 2026 revenue growth, up more than 14-fold year-over-year, has bolstered the company’s valuation trajectory and heightened demand for top-tier distribution capabilities. Market-implied odds price in Goldman’s historical strength in large AI-related deals while leaving room for Morgan Stanley to secure the designation through competitive positioning before final S-1 disclosure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGoldman Sachs 66%
Morgan Stanley 39%
JPMorgan 1.4%
Bank of America <1%
$45,986 Vol.
$45,986 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
48%
Goldman Sachs
48%
JPMorgan
1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 66%
Morgan Stanley 39%
JPMorgan 1.4%
Bank of America <1%
$45,986 Vol.
$45,986 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
48%
Goldman Sachs
48%
JPMorgan
1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds the highest implied probability at 60.5% for lead-left underwriter on Anthropic’s IPO, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 30%, reflecting its edge in recent tech mandates and execution track record. Anthropic’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and July investor meetings have accelerated preparations for a potential October listing, with both banks already positioned as joint bookrunners alongside JPMorgan. Strong Q2 2026 revenue growth, up more than 14-fold year-over-year, has bolstered the company’s valuation trajectory and heightened demand for top-tier distribution capabilities. Market-implied odds price in Goldman’s historical strength in large AI-related deals while leaving room for Morgan Stanley to secure the designation through competitive positioning before final S-1 disclosure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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