**Trader consensus heavily favors a 9°C low for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, at 71% implied probability, driven by overnight observations showing a minimum near 9°C under clear skies and light winds.** Official station data from Schiphol and nearby sites recorded temperatures dropping to 9°C around midnight before rising to 11°C by early morning, with forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models holding the daily minimum in the 10–12°C range amid stable high pressure around 1018 hPa. Radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, combined with dew points near 10°C and minimal cloud cover overnight, supported efficient heat loss consistent with historical September minima averaging 11.3°C but trending cooler this period. Recent upstream high-pressure persistence has suppressed mixing and kept winds below 5–8 km/h, limiting warming. Upcoming resolution hinges on final KNMI-verified daily extremes, with any late-day cooling or measurement adjustments as the main variables that could shift outcomes toward 8°C or lower bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 10 settembre?
9°C 99.5%
6°C o inferiore 10%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
10%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C o superiore
<1%
9°C 99.5%
6°C o inferiore 10%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
10%
7°C
$55 Vol.
1%
8°C
$159 Vol.
1%
9°C
$331 Vol.
100%
10°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
16°C o superiore
$76 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 9°C low for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, at 71% implied probability, driven by overnight observations showing a minimum near 9°C under clear skies and light winds.** Official station data from Schiphol and nearby sites recorded temperatures dropping to 9°C around midnight before rising to 11°C by early morning, with forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models holding the daily minimum in the 10–12°C range amid stable high pressure around 1018 hPa. Radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, combined with dew points near 10°C and minimal cloud cover overnight, supported efficient heat loss consistent with historical September minima averaging 11.3°C but trending cooler this period. Recent upstream high-pressure persistence has suppressed mixing and kept winds below 5–8 km/h, limiting warming. Upcoming resolution hinges on final KNMI-verified daily extremes, with any late-day cooling or measurement adjustments as the main variables that could shift outcomes toward 8°C or lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,562Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 9°C low for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, at 71% implied probability, driven by overnight observations showing a minimum near 9°C under clear skies and light winds.** Official station data from Schiphol and nearby sites recorded temperatures dropping to 9°C around midnight before rising to 11°C by early morning, with forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models holding the daily minimum in the 10–12°C range amid stable high pressure around 1018 hPa. Radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, combined with dew points near 10°C and minimal cloud cover overnight, supported efficient heat loss consistent with historical September minima averaging 11.3°C but trending cooler this period. Recent upstream high-pressure persistence has suppressed mixing and kept winds below 5–8 km/h, limiting warming. Upcoming resolution hinges on final KNMI-verified daily extremes, with any late-day cooling or measurement adjustments as the main variables that could shift outcomes toward 8°C or lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,562Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 9°C low for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, at 71% implied probability, driven by overnight observations showing a minimum near 9°C under clear skies and light winds.** Official station data from Schiphol and nearby sites recorded temperatures dropping to 9°C around midnight before rising to 11°C by early morning, with forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models holding the daily minimum in the 10–12°C range amid stable high pressure around 1018 hPa. Radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions, combined with dew points near 10°C and minimal cloud cover overnight, supported efficient heat loss consistent with historical September minima averaging 11.3°C but trending cooler this period. Recent upstream high-pressure persistence has suppressed mixing and kept winds below 5–8 km/h, limiting warming. Upcoming resolution hinges on final KNMI-verified daily extremes, with any late-day cooling or measurement adjustments as the main variables that could shift outcomes toward 8°C or lower bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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