Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty in Ankara's overnight minimum on September 10, with market-implied odds clustered between 10–20 °C amid clear skies and light northeasterly winds expected to enhance radiative cooling. Recent model runs from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate daytime highs near 28–30 °C giving way to rapid evening temperature drops, with dew points around 1–5 °C supporting efficient heat loss under minimal cloud cover. Historical September baselines show typical lows near 12–14 °C, but subtle variations in boundary-layer wind or residual moisture could shift the actual minimum by several degrees. Updated official observations from Ankara Esenboğa or central stations tomorrow morning will determine resolution as forecasts converge on the final hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 10 settembre?
17°C 38%
19°C 35%
12°C 33%
18°C 31%
10°C o inferiore
27%
11°C
29%
12°C
33%
13°C
19%
14°C
20%
15°C
8%
16°C
8%
17°C
38%
18°C
31%
19°C
35%
20°C o superiore
11%
17°C 38%
19°C 35%
12°C 33%
18°C 31%
10°C o inferiore
27%
11°C
29%
12°C
33%
13°C
19%
14°C
20%
15°C
8%
16°C
8%
17°C
38%
18°C
31%
19°C
35%
20°C o superiore
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty in Ankara's overnight minimum on September 10, with market-implied odds clustered between 10–20 °C amid clear skies and light northeasterly winds expected to enhance radiative cooling. Recent model runs from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate daytime highs near 28–30 °C giving way to rapid evening temperature drops, with dew points around 1–5 °C supporting efficient heat loss under minimal cloud cover. Historical September baselines show typical lows near 12–14 °C, but subtle variations in boundary-layer wind or residual moisture could shift the actual minimum by several degrees. Updated official observations from Ankara Esenboğa or central stations tomorrow morning will determine resolution as forecasts converge on the final hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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