Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a weather system bringing increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and precipitation to Chengdu on August 29, limiting daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. This supports trader focus on lows near 21–24°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where typical August overnight minima hover around 22°C amid high humidity and weak winds. Key variables include the exact timing of rain onset and cloud persistence, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C depending on model consensus. Official resolution relies on verified local station data, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 29 agosto?
25°C 87%
20°C 85%
26°C 84%
21°C 82%
17°C or below
58%
18°C
54%
19°C
57%
20°C
85%
21°C
82%
22°C
43%
23°C
46%
24°C
48%
25°C
87%
26°C
84%
27°C or higher
2%
25°C 87%
20°C 85%
26°C 84%
21°C 82%
17°C or below
58%
18°C
54%
19°C
57%
20°C
85%
21°C
82%
22°C
43%
23°C
46%
24°C
48%
25°C
87%
26°C
84%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a weather system bringing increased cloud cover, thunderstorms, and precipitation to Chengdu on August 29, limiting daytime solar heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling. This supports trader focus on lows near 21–24°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where typical August overnight minima hover around 22°C amid high humidity and weak winds. Key variables include the exact timing of rain onset and cloud persistence, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C depending on model consensus. Official resolution relies on verified local station data, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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