**Recent forecasts for Jeddah on September 9 point to an overnight low in the 28–31°C range, aligning with the market's concentration of probability on 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C.** Coastal Red Sea location and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight, while light winds and partly cloudy skies typical of early September reduce the diurnal temperature drop. Official and model guidance (including Met Office, local airport observations, and extended outlooks) consistently show minimums near 29–31°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 27–28°C but have run slightly warmer in recent years amid stable high-pressure patterns. Current conditions on September 8 feature overnight readings near 29–30°C with similar humidity and wind regimes expected to persist, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C. Lower-probability outcomes below 27°C or above 32°C reflect historical extremes or model outliers that current guidance does not support. Resolution hinges on official minimum temperature readings for the 24-hour period ending September 9; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could nudge the exact value within the narrow 29–31°C band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Gedda il 9 settembre?
30°C 49%
29°C 34%
31°C 25%
34°C o superiore 8%
24°C o inferiore
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
4%
29°C
34%
30°C
42%
31°C
25%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C o superiore
8%
30°C 49%
29°C 34%
31°C 25%
34°C o superiore 8%
24°C o inferiore
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
4%
29°C
34%
30°C
42%
31°C
25%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C o superiore
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Jeddah on September 9 point to an overnight low in the 28–31°C range, aligning with the market's concentration of probability on 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C.** Coastal Red Sea location and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight, while light winds and partly cloudy skies typical of early September reduce the diurnal temperature drop. Official and model guidance (including Met Office, local airport observations, and extended outlooks) consistently show minimums near 29–31°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 27–28°C but have run slightly warmer in recent years amid stable high-pressure patterns. Current conditions on September 8 feature overnight readings near 29–30°C with similar humidity and wind regimes expected to persist, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 29–31°C. Lower-probability outcomes below 27°C or above 32°C reflect historical extremes or model outliers that current guidance does not support. Resolution hinges on official minimum temperature readings for the 24-hour period ending September 9; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could nudge the exact value within the narrow 29–31°C band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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