Current forecasts from regional models indicate stable southwest monsoon flow and high humidity will keep Karachi's overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 12. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show little day-to-day variability, with light winds and partly cloudy skies preventing sharp drops while urban heat effects and sea-breeze moderation cap extremes. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, as traders weigh minor model spread in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing against the low historical likelihood of anomalous cooling or heat this late in the season. Updated runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international centers over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 12 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 98%
31°C o superiore 98%
25°C 40%
22°C 39%
21°C o inferiore
98%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
21%
27°C
19%
28°C
37%
29°C
8%
30°C
37%
31°C o superiore
98%
21°C o inferiore 98%
31°C o superiore 98%
25°C 40%
22°C 39%
21°C o inferiore
98%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
21%
27°C
19%
28°C
37%
29°C
8%
30°C
37%
31°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models indicate stable southwest monsoon flow and high humidity will keep Karachi's overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 12. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show little day-to-day variability, with light winds and partly cloudy skies preventing sharp drops while urban heat effects and sea-breeze moderation cap extremes. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, as traders weigh minor model spread in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing against the low historical likelihood of anomalous cooling or heat this late in the season. Updated runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international centers over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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