Active monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with variable cloud cover and potential thundershowers, are the main drivers behind closely matched trader odds for Lucknow’s August 21 minimum temperature. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 27°C low under partly cloudy skies turning generally cloudy with isolated rain, while nearby observations show recent overnight minima near 25°C. Enhanced humidity and reduced radiative cooling from persistent cloudiness limit how far temperatures can drop, yet breaks in coverage could allow brief clearer periods that favor lower readings around 25–26°C. Model spreads and the timing of any convective activity introduce genuine uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 22°C or below and 27–28°C nearly equal as traders weigh the latest observational data against climatological August norms of 25–28°C lows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 21 agosto?
25°C 59%
24°C 53%
28°C 34%
27°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
-
23°C
2%
24°C
53%
25°C
59%
26°C
31%
27°C
34%
28°C
34%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 59%
24°C 53%
28°C 34%
27°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
$139 Vol.
-
23°C
$117 Vol.
2%
24°C
$153 Vol.
53%
25°C
$100 Vol.
59%
26°C
$69 Vol.
31%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with variable cloud cover and potential thundershowers, are the main drivers behind closely matched trader odds for Lucknow’s August 21 minimum temperature. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 27°C low under partly cloudy skies turning generally cloudy with isolated rain, while nearby observations show recent overnight minima near 25°C. Enhanced humidity and reduced radiative cooling from persistent cloudiness limit how far temperatures can drop, yet breaks in coverage could allow brief clearer periods that favor lower readings around 25–26°C. Model spreads and the timing of any convective activity introduce genuine uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 22°C or below and 27–28°C nearly equal as traders weigh the latest observational data against climatological August norms of 25–28°C lows.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,193Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with variable cloud cover and potential thundershowers, are the main drivers behind closely matched trader odds for Lucknow’s August 21 minimum temperature. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 27°C low under partly cloudy skies turning generally cloudy with isolated rain, while nearby observations show recent overnight minima near 25°C. Enhanced humidity and reduced radiative cooling from persistent cloudiness limit how far temperatures can drop, yet breaks in coverage could allow brief clearer periods that favor lower readings around 25–26°C. Model spreads and the timing of any convective activity introduce genuine uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 22°C or below and 27–28°C nearly equal as traders weigh the latest observational data against climatological August norms of 25–28°C lows.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,193Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with variable cloud cover and potential thundershowers, are the main drivers behind closely matched trader odds for Lucknow’s August 21 minimum temperature. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 27°C low under partly cloudy skies turning generally cloudy with isolated rain, while nearby observations show recent overnight minima near 25°C. Enhanced humidity and reduced radiative cooling from persistent cloudiness limit how far temperatures can drop, yet breaks in coverage could allow brief clearer periods that favor lower readings around 25–26°C. Model spreads and the timing of any convective activity introduce genuine uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 22°C or below and 27–28°C nearly equal as traders weigh the latest observational data against climatological August norms of 25–28°C lows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti