**Persistent heat and high humidity are keeping overnight lows elevated across New York City, positioning the 76–79°F range as the market’s leading outcomes.** National Weather Service forecasts indicate dew points in the mid-70s combined with light winds and limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, preventing temperatures from dropping into the typical mid-70s or lower. Heat advisories remain in effect through at least August 8, with models showing overnight minima around 76–79°F for the period covering August 7. This setup reflects a broader late-summer pattern of southerly flow and elevated moisture that has suppressed diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August climatology for Central Park shows average lows near 68–70°F, but current conditions deviate notably due to the ongoing warm, humid airmass. Upcoming NWS model updates and any overnight observations will provide the clearest signals for final resolution, as even modest increases in cloud cover or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher within the favored bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 7 agosto?
76-77°F 60%
65°F o inferiore 47.5%
84°F o superiore 46.9%
66-67°F 4.1%
65°F o inferiore
48%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
-
74-75°F
-
76-77°F
60%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
-
82-83°F
-
84°F o superiore
47%
76-77°F 60%
65°F o inferiore 47.5%
84°F o superiore 46.9%
66-67°F 4.1%
65°F o inferiore
48%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
-
74-75°F
-
76-77°F
60%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
-
82-83°F
-
84°F o superiore
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heat and high humidity are keeping overnight lows elevated across New York City, positioning the 76–79°F range as the market’s leading outcomes.** National Weather Service forecasts indicate dew points in the mid-70s combined with light winds and limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, preventing temperatures from dropping into the typical mid-70s or lower. Heat advisories remain in effect through at least August 8, with models showing overnight minima around 76–79°F for the period covering August 7. This setup reflects a broader late-summer pattern of southerly flow and elevated moisture that has suppressed diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August climatology for Central Park shows average lows near 68–70°F, but current conditions deviate notably due to the ongoing warm, humid airmass. Upcoming NWS model updates and any overnight observations will provide the clearest signals for final resolution, as even modest increases in cloud cover or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher within the favored bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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