Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a peak near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, supported by a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow, with traders assigning 37.5% implied probability to the 90-91°F bin and 29.5% to 92-93°F. Afternoon cloud build-up and isolated thunderstorms could cap maximum readings by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation, while any delay in convective initiation or stronger downslope warming would favor the upper 90s. Historical early-August climatology around 83°F provides baseline context, yet the current 8-14 day outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center reinforces above-normal temperatures for the period. Updated high-resolution model runs and evening observations tomorrow will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 7 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 7 agosto?
90-91°F 38%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 23%
86-87°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 ago 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 38%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 23%
86-87°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 ago 2026
81°F or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$251 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$446 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$485 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$913 Vol.
23%
90-91°F
$1,684 Vol.
38%
92-93°F
$1,569 Vol.
29%
94-95°F
$411 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$271 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$250 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a peak near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, supported by a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow, with traders assigning 37.5% implied probability to the 90-91°F bin and 29.5% to 92-93°F. Afternoon cloud build-up and isolated thunderstorms could cap maximum readings by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation, while any delay in convective initiation or stronger downslope warming would favor the upper 90s. Historical early-August climatology around 83°F provides baseline context, yet the current 8-14 day outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center reinforces above-normal temperatures for the period. Updated high-resolution model runs and evening observations tomorrow will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$6,972Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a peak near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, supported by a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow, with traders assigning 37.5% implied probability to the 90-91°F bin and 29.5% to 92-93°F. Afternoon cloud build-up and isolated thunderstorms could cap maximum readings by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation, while any delay in convective initiation or stronger downslope warming would favor the upper 90s. Historical early-August climatology around 83°F provides baseline context, yet the current 8-14 day outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center reinforces above-normal temperatures for the period. Updated high-resolution model runs and evening observations tomorrow will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,972Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a peak near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, supported by a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow, with traders assigning 37.5% implied probability to the 90-91°F bin and 29.5% to 92-93°F. Afternoon cloud build-up and isolated thunderstorms could cap maximum readings by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation, while any delay in convective initiation or stronger downslope warming would favor the upper 90s. Historical early-August climatology around 83°F provides baseline context, yet the current 8-14 day outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center reinforces above-normal temperatures for the period. Updated high-resolution model runs and evening observations tomorrow will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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