Météo-France observations and ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance have locked in a 5°C overnight minimum at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market’s official resolution station, under a persistent cool northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that suppressed radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs near 14°C. This setup aligns with the past week’s below-average May pattern, where unstable showers and limited solar insolation prevented temperatures from reaching the typical 9°C seasonal low. With the lowest reading already recorded and no further nocturnal cooling expected, trader consensus has converged on 5°C at 99.8% implied probability. Only an unforeseen late-day cold front or station measurement revision could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes highly improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 15 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 15 maggio?
5°C 99.8%
4°C <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$16,829 Vol.
$16,829 Vol.
15 mag 2026
-2°C o inferiore
<1%
-1°C
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
100%
5°C 99.8%
4°C <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$16,829 Vol.
$16,829 Vol.
15 mag 2026
-2°C o inferiore
$364 Vol.
<1%
-1°C
$599 Vol.
<1%
0°C
$992 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$804 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$793 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$873 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$1,503 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$2,364 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France observations and ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance have locked in a 5°C overnight minimum at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market’s official resolution station, under a persistent cool northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that suppressed radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs near 14°C. This setup aligns with the past week’s below-average May pattern, where unstable showers and limited solar insolation prevented temperatures from reaching the typical 9°C seasonal low. With the lowest reading already recorded and no further nocturnal cooling expected, trader consensus has converged on 5°C at 99.8% implied probability. Only an unforeseen late-day cold front or station measurement revision could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volume
$16,829Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France observations and ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance have locked in a 5°C overnight minimum at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market’s official resolution station, under a persistent cool northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that suppressed radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs near 14°C. This setup aligns with the past week’s below-average May pattern, where unstable showers and limited solar insolation prevented temperatures from reaching the typical 9°C seasonal low. With the lowest reading already recorded and no further nocturnal cooling expected, trader consensus has converged on 5°C at 99.8% implied probability. Only an unforeseen late-day cold front or station measurement revision could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,829Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France observations and ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance have locked in a 5°C overnight minimum at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market’s official resolution station, under a persistent cool northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that suppressed radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs near 14°C. This setup aligns with the past week’s below-average May pattern, where unstable showers and limited solar insolation prevented temperatures from reaching the typical 9°C seasonal low. With the lowest reading already recorded and no further nocturnal cooling expected, trader consensus has converged on 5°C at 99.8% implied probability. Only an unforeseen late-day cold front or station measurement revision could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes highly improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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