Recent forecasts from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on August 31 likely in the 21–23°C range, driven by increasing northeasterly winds (up to 6–9 mph) advecting cooler maritime air and reduced overnight cloud cover that enhances radiational cooling. This follows a pattern of gradual seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 22°C lows, with partial clearing and dew points dropping into the upper teens supporting the market's elevated implied probability (45.5%) for 18°C or below. Model consensus remains moderate, however, as lingering humidity and variable wind speeds introduce uncertainty around exact overnight minima near resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Qingdao il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Qingdao il 31 agosto?
18°C or below 90%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
21°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
18°C or below
90%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
15%
26°C
15%
27°C
13%
28°C or higher
7%
18°C or below 90%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
21°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
15%
27°C
$0 Vol.
13%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on August 31 likely in the 21–23°C range, driven by increasing northeasterly winds (up to 6–9 mph) advecting cooler maritime air and reduced overnight cloud cover that enhances radiational cooling. This follows a pattern of gradual seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 22°C lows, with partial clearing and dew points dropping into the upper teens supporting the market's elevated implied probability (45.5%) for 18°C or below. Model consensus remains moderate, however, as lingering humidity and variable wind speeds introduce uncertainty around exact overnight minima near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on August 31 likely in the 21–23°C range, driven by increasing northeasterly winds (up to 6–9 mph) advecting cooler maritime air and reduced overnight cloud cover that enhances radiational cooling. This follows a pattern of gradual seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 22°C lows, with partial clearing and dew points dropping into the upper teens supporting the market's elevated implied probability (45.5%) for 18°C or below. Model consensus remains moderate, however, as lingering humidity and variable wind speeds introduce uncertainty around exact overnight minima near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on August 31 likely in the 21–23°C range, driven by increasing northeasterly winds (up to 6–9 mph) advecting cooler maritime air and reduced overnight cloud cover that enhances radiational cooling. This follows a pattern of gradual seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 22°C lows, with partial clearing and dew points dropping into the upper teens supporting the market's elevated implied probability (45.5%) for 18°C or below. Model consensus remains moderate, however, as lingering humidity and variable wind speeds introduce uncertainty around exact overnight minima near resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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