Forecast models and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau guidance point to a minimum of 22°C overnight under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity that limits radiational cooling. Multiple ensemble runs show overnight lows stabilizing near this value with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky intensification expected, aligning with climatological norms for early September in the region. Trader consensus at 96% for 22°C reflects this convergence of data, though resolution depends on the precise official station reading. A modest increase in cloud cover or slight wind shift could still produce a 21°C reading, while clearer conditions might push it lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 10 settembre?
22°C 97%
21°C 1.7%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,467 Vol.
$15,467 Vol.
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
97%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 97%
21°C 1.7%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,467 Vol.
$15,467 Vol.
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
97%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau guidance point to a minimum of 22°C overnight under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity that limits radiational cooling. Multiple ensemble runs show overnight lows stabilizing near this value with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky intensification expected, aligning with climatological norms for early September in the region. Trader consensus at 96% for 22°C reflects this convergence of data, though resolution depends on the precise official station reading. A modest increase in cloud cover or slight wind shift could still produce a 21°C reading, while clearer conditions might push it lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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