Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on August 31 indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and high humidity associated with a lingering monsoon influence that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light variable winds and dew points in the mid-20s further support this range, consistent with climatological August lows around 25°C while preventing sharper drops that would favor sub-23°C outcomes. Model consensus remains tight but shows minor spread in timing of rain bands, with traders weighting official station observations and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 31 agosto?
22°C or below 91%
24°C 86%
23°C 85%
32°C or higher 82%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
91%
23°C
85%
24°C
86%
25°C
45%
26°C
50%
27°C
36%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
82%
22°C or below 91%
24°C 86%
23°C 85%
32°C or higher 82%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
91%
23°C
$0 Vol.
85%
24°C
$0 Vol.
86%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
36%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
46%
32°C or higher
$130 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on August 31 indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and high humidity associated with a lingering monsoon influence that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light variable winds and dew points in the mid-20s further support this range, consistent with climatological August lows around 25°C while preventing sharper drops that would favor sub-23°C outcomes. Model consensus remains tight but shows minor spread in timing of rain bands, with traders weighting official station observations and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$130Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on August 31 indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and high humidity associated with a lingering monsoon influence that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light variable winds and dew points in the mid-20s further support this range, consistent with climatological August lows around 25°C while preventing sharper drops that would favor sub-23°C outcomes. Model consensus remains tight but shows minor spread in timing of rain bands, with traders weighting official station observations and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on August 31 indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, moderate to heavy rainfall, and high humidity associated with a lingering monsoon influence that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light variable winds and dew points in the mid-20s further support this range, consistent with climatological August lows around 25°C while preventing sharper drops that would favor sub-23°C outcomes. Model consensus remains tight but shows minor spread in timing of rain bands, with traders weighting official station observations and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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