Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and the UK Met Office point to a minimum temperature around 9–13°C for Wellington on September 2, driven by strengthening northwesterly winds ahead of a front that will keep overnight lows elevated rather than allowing radiational cooling under clear skies. Model consensus shows partly cloudy to windy conditions with limited southerly surges, consistent with typical early-spring variability in the region and the influence of an intensifying El Niño pattern favoring westerlies. Trader sentiment clusters around 11–12°C outcomes because these align closely with current ensemble guidance, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the low likelihood of a sharp cold outbreak or unusually mild advection in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings over the coming day will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 2 settembre?
11°C 60%
14°C 8%
10°C 3%
13°C 1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
7°C or below
-
8°C
-
9°C
-
10°C
3%
11°C
60%
12°C
-
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
47%
16°C
43%
17°C or higher
42%
11°C 60%
14°C 8%
10°C 3%
13°C 1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
7°C or below
$31 Vol.
-
8°C
$11 Vol.
-
9°C
$10 Vol.
-
10°C
$10 Vol.
3%
11°C
$10 Vol.
60%
12°C
$0 Vol.
-
13°C
$169 Vol.
1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
8%
15°C
$10 Vol.
47%
16°C
$10 Vol.
43%
17°C or higher
$18 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and the UK Met Office point to a minimum temperature around 9–13°C for Wellington on September 2, driven by strengthening northwesterly winds ahead of a front that will keep overnight lows elevated rather than allowing radiational cooling under clear skies. Model consensus shows partly cloudy to windy conditions with limited southerly surges, consistent with typical early-spring variability in the region and the influence of an intensifying El Niño pattern favoring westerlies. Trader sentiment clusters around 11–12°C outcomes because these align closely with current ensemble guidance, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the low likelihood of a sharp cold outbreak or unusually mild advection in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings over the coming day will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$285Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and the UK Met Office point to a minimum temperature around 9–13°C for Wellington on September 2, driven by strengthening northwesterly winds ahead of a front that will keep overnight lows elevated rather than allowing radiational cooling under clear skies. Model consensus shows partly cloudy to windy conditions with limited southerly surges, consistent with typical early-spring variability in the region and the influence of an intensifying El Niño pattern favoring westerlies. Trader sentiment clusters around 11–12°C outcomes because these align closely with current ensemble guidance, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the low likelihood of a sharp cold outbreak or unusually mild advection in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings over the coming day will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$285Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and the UK Met Office point to a minimum temperature around 9–13°C for Wellington on September 2, driven by strengthening northwesterly winds ahead of a front that will keep overnight lows elevated rather than allowing radiational cooling under clear skies. Model consensus shows partly cloudy to windy conditions with limited southerly surges, consistent with typical early-spring variability in the region and the influence of an intensifying El Niño pattern favoring westerlies. Trader sentiment clusters around 11–12°C outcomes because these align closely with current ensemble guidance, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect the low likelihood of a sharp cold outbreak or unusually mild advection in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings over the coming day will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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