Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 20°C in Wuhan on September 9 as the most probable outcome, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-autumn cooling patterns across the Yangtze River region. Historical September minima for the city average near 19–21°C, with limited day-to-day variability under current ENSO-neutral conditions. Official observations from surface stations and ensemble runs show minimal risk of deeper cooling or warming intrusions through the resolution window. Shifts could occur if updated model guidance incorporates a stronger cold-air outbreak or if localized urban heat-island effects alter the recorded minimum, though such revisions remain low-probability given the narrow spread in current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 9 settembre?
20°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$2,539 Vol.
$2,539 Vol.
9 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
No
19°C
No
20°C
Sì
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
20°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$2,539 Vol.
$2,539 Vol.
9 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$209 Vol.
No
19°C
$274 Vol.
No
20°C
$472 Vol.
Sì
21°C
$164 Vol.
No
22°C
$221 Vol.
No
23°C
$145 Vol.
No
24°C
$165 Vol.
No
25°C
$155 Vol.
No
26°C
$215 Vol.
No
27°C
$375 Vol.
No
28°C o superiore
$145 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 20°C in Wuhan on September 9 as the most probable outcome, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-autumn cooling patterns across the Yangtze River region. Historical September minima for the city average near 19–21°C, with limited day-to-day variability under current ENSO-neutral conditions. Official observations from surface stations and ensemble runs show minimal risk of deeper cooling or warming intrusions through the resolution window. Shifts could occur if updated model guidance incorporates a stronger cold-air outbreak or if localized urban heat-island effects alter the recorded minimum, though such revisions remain low-probability given the narrow spread in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,539Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 20°C in Wuhan on September 9 as the most probable outcome, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-autumn cooling patterns across the Yangtze River region. Historical September minima for the city average near 19–21°C, with limited day-to-day variability under current ENSO-neutral conditions. Official observations from surface stations and ensemble runs show minimal risk of deeper cooling or warming intrusions through the resolution window. Shifts could occur if updated model guidance incorporates a stronger cold-air outbreak or if localized urban heat-island effects alter the recorded minimum, though such revisions remain low-probability given the narrow spread in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,539Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 20°C in Wuhan on September 9 as the most probable outcome, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-autumn cooling patterns across the Yangtze River region. Historical September minima for the city average near 19–21°C, with limited day-to-day variability under current ENSO-neutral conditions. Official observations from surface stations and ensemble runs show minimal risk of deeper cooling or warming intrusions through the resolution window. Shifts could occur if updated model guidance incorporates a stronger cold-air outbreak or if localized urban heat-island effects alter the recorded minimum, though such revisions remain low-probability given the narrow spread in current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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