Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China project an overnight low near 19–20 °C for Zhengzhou on September 22 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies and light variable winds under 5 km/h. Recent light rain and high humidity have maintained elevated dew points, limiting radiative cooling, while expected diurnal clearing allows modest temperature drops after sunset. This places the market-implied probability of 15 °C or below near parity with warmer outcomes above 25 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimums driven by cloud timing and wind shifts. Historical September lows average 17–18 °C, but current stable high pressure favors values clustered around 19–21 °C. Updated model runs and official station readings after midnight will refine the resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Zhengzhou il 22 settembre?
25°C o superiore 98%
15°C o inferiore 97%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
15°C o inferiore
97%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C o superiore
98%
25°C o superiore 98%
15°C o inferiore 97%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
15°C o inferiore
97%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China project an overnight low near 19–20 °C for Zhengzhou on September 22 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies and light variable winds under 5 km/h. Recent light rain and high humidity have maintained elevated dew points, limiting radiative cooling, while expected diurnal clearing allows modest temperature drops after sunset. This places the market-implied probability of 15 °C or below near parity with warmer outcomes above 25 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimums driven by cloud timing and wind shifts. Historical September lows average 17–18 °C, but current stable high pressure favors values clustered around 19–21 °C. Updated model runs and official station readings after midnight will refine the resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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