Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 23 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Clear conditions and moderate humidity should allow strong daytime solar heating, while subtle differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 30°C and 33°C. Historical September 23 averages near 25°C underscore the current warmth, but late-summer variability and potential for scattered afternoon convection introduce modest downside risk. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 23 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Pechino il 23 settembre?
31°C 37%
32°C 34%
33°C 16%
30°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
13%
31°C
37%
32°C
34%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
5%
36°C o superiore
8%
31°C 37%
32°C 34%
33°C 16%
30°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$188 Vol.
1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
7%
30°C
$42 Vol.
13%
31°C
$59 Vol.
37%
32°C
$15 Vol.
34%
33°C
$37 Vol.
16%
34°C
$35 Vol.
6%
35°C
$5 Vol.
5%
36°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 23 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Clear conditions and moderate humidity should allow strong daytime solar heating, while subtle differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 30°C and 33°C. Historical September 23 averages near 25°C underscore the current warmth, but late-summer variability and potential for scattered afternoon convection introduce modest downside risk. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$540Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 23 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Clear conditions and moderate humidity should allow strong daytime solar heating, while subtle differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 30°C and 33°C. Historical September 23 averages near 25°C underscore the current warmth, but late-summer variability and potential for scattered afternoon convection introduce modest downside risk. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$540Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 23 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Clear conditions and moderate humidity should allow strong daytime solar heating, while subtle differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 30°C and 33°C. Historical September 23 averages near 25°C underscore the current warmth, but late-summer variability and potential for scattered afternoon convection introduce modest downside risk. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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