Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover are suppressing temperatures across the New York metro area, with National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports converging on a September 23 high near 66°F. This cool, stable pattern under northeast flow has positioned the 66-67°F bin as the clear market leader at 54.5% implied probability, while adjacent 64-65°F and 68-69°F outcomes capture the modest range of model and site-specific uncertainty. Historical September norms near 75°F underscore the current anomaly, and with resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest official guidance and limited expected variability most heavily.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 23 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 23 settembre?
66-67°F 55%
68-69°F 26%
62-63°F 24%
64-65°F 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
57°F o inferiore
8%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
55%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
1%
76°F o superiore
<1%
66-67°F 55%
68-69°F 26%
62-63°F 24%
64-65°F 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 set 2026
57°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
8%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$5 Vol.
13%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
24%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
21%
66-67°F
$245 Vol.
55%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$7 Vol.
11%
72-73°F
$2 Vol.
14%
74-75°F
$23 Vol.
1%
76°F o superiore
$23 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover are suppressing temperatures across the New York metro area, with National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports converging on a September 23 high near 66°F. This cool, stable pattern under northeast flow has positioned the 66-67°F bin as the clear market leader at 54.5% implied probability, while adjacent 64-65°F and 68-69°F outcomes capture the modest range of model and site-specific uncertainty. Historical September norms near 75°F underscore the current anomaly, and with resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest official guidance and limited expected variability most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$306Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover are suppressing temperatures across the New York metro area, with National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports converging on a September 23 high near 66°F. This cool, stable pattern under northeast flow has positioned the 66-67°F bin as the clear market leader at 54.5% implied probability, while adjacent 64-65°F and 68-69°F outcomes capture the modest range of model and site-specific uncertainty. Historical September norms near 75°F underscore the current anomaly, and with resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest official guidance and limited expected variability most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$306Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover are suppressing temperatures across the New York metro area, with National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports converging on a September 23 high near 66°F. This cool, stable pattern under northeast flow has positioned the 66-67°F bin as the clear market leader at 54.5% implied probability, while adjacent 64-65°F and 68-69°F outcomes capture the modest range of model and site-specific uncertainty. Historical September norms near 75°F underscore the current anomaly, and with resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest official guidance and limited expected variability most heavily.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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