The Massachusetts 6th district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 or greater Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory at 95.3 percent. Seth Moulton's decision not to seek re-election for the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, yet the eventual nominee faces minimal opposition in November given limited Republican infrastructure and the district's northeastern Massachusetts voter base. The presumptive Republican nominee trails far behind in implied probability. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMA-06 House Election Winner
MA-06 House Election Winner
$26,732 Vol.
$26,732 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$26,732 Vol.
$26,732 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$15,584 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$11,148 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 or greater Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory at 95.3 percent. Seth Moulton's decision not to seek re-election for the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, yet the eventual nominee faces minimal opposition in November given limited Republican infrastructure and the district's northeastern Massachusetts voter base. The presumptive Republican nominee trails far behind in implied probability. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,732Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 or greater Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory at 95.3 percent. Seth Moulton's decision not to seek re-election for the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, yet the eventual nominee faces minimal opposition in November given limited Republican infrastructure and the district's northeastern Massachusetts voter base. The presumptive Republican nominee trails far behind in implied probability. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,732Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 or greater Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory at 95.3 percent. Seth Moulton's decision not to seek re-election for the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, yet the eventual nominee faces minimal opposition in November given limited Republican infrastructure and the district's northeastern Massachusetts voter base. The presumptive Republican nominee trails far behind in implied probability. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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