**The open Massachusetts 6th congressional district seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate primary challenge against Sen. Ed Markey, anchors trader consensus at 95.4% for the Democratic Party ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election.** This solidly Democratic district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and a history of double-digit Democratic margins, features a crowded primary field including Dan Koh and others, contrasting a thin Republican lineup headlined by Army veteran Micah Jones, who entered in February. No recent polling or developments indicate competitiveness, reinforcing the partisan baseline. While a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or extraordinary GOP turnout could theoretically challenge this, such shifts remain highly improbable given the district's entrenched blue lean and lack of battleground dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMA-06 House Election Winner
MA-06 House Election Winner
$14,682 Vol.
$14,682 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$14,682 Vol.
$14,682 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,785 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$7,897 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The open Massachusetts 6th congressional district seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate primary challenge against Sen. Ed Markey, anchors trader consensus at 95.4% for the Democratic Party ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election.** This solidly Democratic district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and a history of double-digit Democratic margins, features a crowded primary field including Dan Koh and others, contrasting a thin Republican lineup headlined by Army veteran Micah Jones, who entered in February. No recent polling or developments indicate competitiveness, reinforcing the partisan baseline. While a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or extraordinary GOP turnout could theoretically challenge this, such shifts remain highly improbable given the district's entrenched blue lean and lack of battleground dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$14,682Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The open Massachusetts 6th congressional district seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate primary challenge against Sen. Ed Markey, anchors trader consensus at 95.4% for the Democratic Party ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election.** This solidly Democratic district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and a history of double-digit Democratic margins, features a crowded primary field including Dan Koh and others, contrasting a thin Republican lineup headlined by Army veteran Micah Jones, who entered in February. No recent polling or developments indicate competitiveness, reinforcing the partisan baseline. While a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or extraordinary GOP turnout could theoretically challenge this, such shifts remain highly improbable given the district's entrenched blue lean and lack of battleground dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,682Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The open Massachusetts 6th congressional district seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate primary challenge against Sen. Ed Markey, anchors trader consensus at 95.4% for the Democratic Party ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election.** This solidly Democratic district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and a history of double-digit Democratic margins, features a crowded primary field including Dan Koh and others, contrasting a thin Republican lineup headlined by Army veteran Micah Jones, who entered in February. No recent polling or developments indicate competitiveness, reinforcing the partisan baseline. While a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or extraordinary GOP turnout could theoretically challenge this, such shifts remain highly improbable given the district's entrenched blue lean and lack of battleground dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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