Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election project Ra’am winning 4–6 seats, with averages clustering near 5 amid a fragmented field and combined Arab-party totals near 12. Ra’am’s independent candidacy, first primary in August, and late-August addition of Jewish former MK Yoav Segalovitz to the second slot on its list have introduced variability in voter consolidation among Arab Israelis. A September 13 surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List aims to limit wasted ballots, while far-right efforts to disqualify the party have drawn limited traction. These factors, alongside polling margins of error and bloc dynamics, keep probabilities for 4, 5, and 6 seats closely bunched, with shifts likely hinging on final turnout among Arab voters and any late list adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato5 35%
4 28%
6 24.6%
<4 17.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<4
17%
4
28%
5
35%
6
25%
7
2%
8+
2%
5 35%
4 28%
6 24.6%
<4 17.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<4
$1,083 Vol.
17%
4
$1,791 Vol.
28%
5
$1,163 Vol.
35%
6
$1,513 Vol.
25%
7
$1,074 Vol.
2%
8+
$867 Vol.
2%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election project Ra’am winning 4–6 seats, with averages clustering near 5 amid a fragmented field and combined Arab-party totals near 12. Ra’am’s independent candidacy, first primary in August, and late-August addition of Jewish former MK Yoav Segalovitz to the second slot on its list have introduced variability in voter consolidation among Arab Israelis. A September 13 surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List aims to limit wasted ballots, while far-right efforts to disqualify the party have drawn limited traction. These factors, alongside polling margins of error and bloc dynamics, keep probabilities for 4, 5, and 6 seats closely bunched, with shifts likely hinging on final turnout among Arab voters and any late list adjustments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$7,491Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election project Ra’am winning 4–6 seats, with averages clustering near 5 amid a fragmented field and combined Arab-party totals near 12. Ra’am’s independent candidacy, first primary in August, and late-August addition of Jewish former MK Yoav Segalovitz to the second slot on its list have introduced variability in voter consolidation among Arab Israelis. A September 13 surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List aims to limit wasted ballots, while far-right efforts to disqualify the party have drawn limited traction. These factors, alongside polling margins of error and bloc dynamics, keep probabilities for 4, 5, and 6 seats closely bunched, with shifts likely hinging on final turnout among Arab voters and any late list adjustments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$7,491Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election project Ra’am winning 4–6 seats, with averages clustering near 5 amid a fragmented field and combined Arab-party totals near 12. Ra’am’s independent candidacy, first primary in August, and late-August addition of Jewish former MK Yoav Segalovitz to the second slot on its list have introduced variability in voter consolidation among Arab Israelis. A September 13 surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List aims to limit wasted ballots, while far-right efforts to disqualify the party have drawn limited traction. These factors, alongside polling margins of error and bloc dynamics, keep probabilities for 4, 5, and 6 seats closely bunched, with shifts likely hinging on final turnout among Arab voters and any late list adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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