Google's May 19 I/O announcement of Gemini 3.5 Pro, positioned as a frontier reasoning model with expanded context and agentic capabilities, set the June 2026 general availability target that now shapes trader focus. With Gemini 3.5 Flash already live and the Pro variant still in limited preview or internal testing, the spread between late-June dates and a possible slip past month-end reflects uncertainty over final certification, benchmark validation, and supply-chain readiness for broad API rollout. Competitive pressure from rival large language model releases adds volatility, as does Google's history of timeline adjustments on major updates. Key near-term catalysts include any enterprise previews, regulatory nods, or official blog posts clarifying exact availability criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
30 giugno 31%
23 giugno 24%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 giugno 13.5%
22 giugno 6.0%
$114,900 Vol.
$114,900 Vol.
13 giugno
<1%
14 giugno
<1%
15 giugno
<1%
16 giugno
3%
17 giugno
2%
18 giugno
4%
19 giugno
2%
20 giugno
1%
21 giugno
1%
22 giugno
6%
23 giugno
24%
24 giugno
4%
25 giugno
2%
26 giugno
6%
27 giugno
1%
28 giugno
<1%
29 giugno
<1%
30 giugno
31%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 giugno
13%
30 giugno 31%
23 giugno 24%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 giugno 13.5%
22 giugno 6.0%
$114,900 Vol.
$114,900 Vol.
13 giugno
<1%
14 giugno
<1%
15 giugno
<1%
16 giugno
3%
17 giugno
2%
18 giugno
4%
19 giugno
2%
20 giugno
1%
21 giugno
1%
22 giugno
6%
23 giugno
24%
24 giugno
4%
25 giugno
2%
26 giugno
6%
27 giugno
1%
28 giugno
<1%
29 giugno
<1%
30 giugno
31%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 giugno
13%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's May 19 I/O announcement of Gemini 3.5 Pro, positioned as a frontier reasoning model with expanded context and agentic capabilities, set the June 2026 general availability target that now shapes trader focus. With Gemini 3.5 Flash already live and the Pro variant still in limited preview or internal testing, the spread between late-June dates and a possible slip past month-end reflects uncertainty over final certification, benchmark validation, and supply-chain readiness for broad API rollout. Competitive pressure from rival large language model releases adds volatility, as does Google's history of timeline adjustments on major updates. Key near-term catalysts include any enterprise previews, regulatory nods, or official blog posts clarifying exact availability criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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