Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman by roughly 32 points (approximately 66% to 34%) based on certified tallies. Trader consensus for a 30%+ margin of victory reflects Lander’s strong performance in a heavily Democratic district covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, bolstered by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Goldman faced headwinds from progressive opposition tied to his record on Israel policy and AIPAC ties, while Lander drew on his profile as former city comptroller and 2025 mayoral candidate. With results now finalized and no active disputes reported, the outcome aligns with the dominant market pricing; late shifts would require formal challenges or recount procedures that have not materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLander oltre il 30% 98.4%
Lander <10% 2.9%
Lander 20–30% 2.8%
Lander 10–20% <1%
$75,532 Vol.
$75,532 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Lander oltre il 30%
98%
Lander 20–30%
3%
Lander 10–20%
<1%
Lander <10%
3%
Altro
<1%
Lander oltre il 30% 98.4%
Lander <10% 2.9%
Lander 20–30% 2.8%
Lander 10–20% <1%
$75,532 Vol.
$75,532 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Lander oltre il 30%
$47,006 Vol.
98%
Lander 20–30%
$9,382 Vol.
3%
Lander 10–20%
$12,598 Vol.
<1%
Lander <10%
$3,360 Vol.
3%
Altro
$2,075 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman by roughly 32 points (approximately 66% to 34%) based on certified tallies. Trader consensus for a 30%+ margin of victory reflects Lander’s strong performance in a heavily Democratic district covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, bolstered by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Goldman faced headwinds from progressive opposition tied to his record on Israel policy and AIPAC ties, while Lander drew on his profile as former city comptroller and 2025 mayoral candidate. With results now finalized and no active disputes reported, the outcome aligns with the dominant market pricing; late shifts would require formal challenges or recount procedures that have not materialized.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
Volume
$75,532Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman by roughly 32 points (approximately 66% to 34%) based on certified tallies. Trader consensus for a 30%+ margin of victory reflects Lander’s strong performance in a heavily Democratic district covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, bolstered by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Goldman faced headwinds from progressive opposition tied to his record on Israel policy and AIPAC ties, while Lander drew on his profile as former city comptroller and 2025 mayoral candidate. With results now finalized and no active disputes reported, the outcome aligns with the dominant market pricing; late shifts would require formal challenges or recount procedures that have not materialized.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$75,532Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman by roughly 32 points (approximately 66% to 34%) based on certified tallies. Trader consensus for a 30%+ margin of victory reflects Lander’s strong performance in a heavily Democratic district covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, bolstered by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Goldman faced headwinds from progressive opposition tied to his record on Israel policy and AIPAC ties, while Lander drew on his profile as former city comptroller and 2025 mayoral candidate. With results now finalized and no active disputes reported, the outcome aligns with the dominant market pricing; late shifts would require formal challenges or recount procedures that have not materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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