Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by roughly 3.5 points in certified results. The narrow margin reflected Chevalier’s strong performance among White and Black voters offsetting Espaillat’s edge with Latino voters, aided by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and alignment with progressive and democratic socialist networks. Late polling showed a tight race, with final tallies confirming Chevalier at 49.4 percent to Espaillat’s 45.9 percent. Trader consensus on a sub-5-point victory remains near-certain because official canvassing and any minor adjustments are unlikely to alter the outcome materially. Only a successful recount petition or widespread irregularities discovered during certification could shift the recorded margin above 5 points.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAvila Chevalier <5% 98.5%
Avila Chevalier 5–10% 1.6%
Avila Chevalier oltre il 10% 1.3%
Altro <1%
$89,667 Vol.
$89,667 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Avila Chevalier oltre il 10%
1%
Avila Chevalier 5–10%
2%
Avila Chevalier <5%
99%
Altro
<1%
Avila Chevalier <5% 98.5%
Avila Chevalier 5–10% 1.6%
Avila Chevalier oltre il 10% 1.3%
Altro <1%
$89,667 Vol.
$89,667 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Avila Chevalier oltre il 10%
$5,976 Vol.
1%
Avila Chevalier 5–10%
$7,521 Vol.
2%
Avila Chevalier <5%
$21,705 Vol.
99%
Altro
$2,194 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by roughly 3.5 points in certified results. The narrow margin reflected Chevalier’s strong performance among White and Black voters offsetting Espaillat’s edge with Latino voters, aided by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and alignment with progressive and democratic socialist networks. Late polling showed a tight race, with final tallies confirming Chevalier at 49.4 percent to Espaillat’s 45.9 percent. Trader consensus on a sub-5-point victory remains near-certain because official canvassing and any minor adjustments are unlikely to alter the outcome materially. Only a successful recount petition or widespread irregularities discovered during certification could shift the recorded margin above 5 points.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ET
Volume
$89,667Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by roughly 3.5 points in certified results. The narrow margin reflected Chevalier’s strong performance among White and Black voters offsetting Espaillat’s edge with Latino voters, aided by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and alignment with progressive and democratic socialist networks. Late polling showed a tight race, with final tallies confirming Chevalier at 49.4 percent to Espaillat’s 45.9 percent. Trader consensus on a sub-5-point victory remains near-certain because official canvassing and any minor adjustments are unlikely to alter the outcome materially. Only a successful recount petition or widespread irregularities discovered during certification could shift the recorded margin above 5 points.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$89,667Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by roughly 3.5 points in certified results. The narrow margin reflected Chevalier’s strong performance among White and Black voters offsetting Espaillat’s edge with Latino voters, aided by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and alignment with progressive and democratic socialist networks. Late polling showed a tight race, with final tallies confirming Chevalier at 49.4 percent to Espaillat’s 45.9 percent. Trader consensus on a sub-5-point victory remains near-certain because official canvassing and any minor adjustments are unlikely to alter the outcome materially. Only a successful recount petition or widespread irregularities discovered during certification could shift the recorded margin above 5 points.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti