Recent polling in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary shows a tight contest among state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Jack Schlossberg and George Conway trailing. Multiple May and early June surveys place Lasher and Bores within a few points of each other, often separated by single digits amid high undecided shares, while Schlossberg registers in the low teens or below. A fiery June 9 debate featured direct exchanges over outside spending, endorsements, and candidate experience, underscoring the fluid dynamics one week before the June 23 vote. These conditions support trader consensus around narrow victory margins or alternative outcomes, as late shifts among older voters and turnout in Manhattan districts could alter the final spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLasher <5% 27%
Bores <5% 24%
Lasher 5–10% 23%
Lasher 10–15% 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 giu 2026
Lasher oltre il 15%
6%
Lasher 10–15%
13%
Lasher 5–10%
23%
Lasher <5%
27%
Bores 5%+
8%
Bores <5%
24%
Schlossberg vince
8%
Lasher <5% 27%
Bores <5% 24%
Lasher 5–10% 23%
Lasher 10–15% 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 giu 2026
Lasher oltre il 15%
$46 Vol.
6%
Lasher 10–15%
$46 Vol.
13%
Lasher 5–10%
$86 Vol.
23%
Lasher <5%
$46 Vol.
27%
Bores 5%+
$46 Vol.
8%
Bores <5%
$53 Vol.
24%
Schlossberg vince
$59 Vol.
8%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Recent polling in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary shows a tight contest among state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Jack Schlossberg and George Conway trailing. Multiple May and early June surveys place Lasher and Bores within a few points of each other, often separated by single digits amid high undecided shares, while Schlossberg registers in the low teens or below. A fiery June 9 debate featured direct exchanges over outside spending, endorsements, and candidate experience, underscoring the fluid dynamics one week before the June 23 vote. These conditions support trader consensus around narrow victory margins or alternative outcomes, as late shifts among older voters and turnout in Manhattan districts could alter the final spread.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$382Data di fine
24 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Recent polling in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary shows a tight contest among state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Jack Schlossberg and George Conway trailing. Multiple May and early June surveys place Lasher and Bores within a few points of each other, often separated by single digits amid high undecided shares, while Schlossberg registers in the low teens or below. A fiery June 9 debate featured direct exchanges over outside spending, endorsements, and candidate experience, underscoring the fluid dynamics one week before the June 23 vote. These conditions support trader consensus around narrow victory margins or alternative outcomes, as late shifts among older voters and turnout in Manhattan districts could alter the final spread.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$382Data di fine
24 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary shows a tight contest among state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Jack Schlossberg and George Conway trailing. Multiple May and early June surveys place Lasher and Bores within a few points of each other, often separated by single digits amid high undecided shares, while Schlossberg registers in the low teens or below. A fiery June 9 debate featured direct exchanges over outside spending, endorsements, and candidate experience, underscoring the fluid dynamics one week before the June 23 vote. These conditions support trader consensus around narrow victory margins or alternative outcomes, as late shifts among older voters and turnout in Manhattan districts could alter the final spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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