Claire Valdez secured the NY-07 Democratic nomination on June 23, 2026, with roughly 56-58% of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and other challengers, establishing a margin exceeding 20 points in early and final tallies. This outcome, driven by strong support in Brooklyn and Queens precincts plus backing from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, aligned with the district’s progressive leanings and the open-seat dynamics following Nydia Velázquez’s retirement. Trader consensus prices the 15%+ margin outcome near 99% because certified results and reporting leave little room for adjustment. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential late ballot processing, formal certification disputes, or recount triggers that could narrow the final certified spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-07 Margine di vittoria delle primarie democratiche
NY-07 Margine di vittoria delle primarie democratiche
Valdez oltre il 15% 98.8%
Valdez 10–15% 2.7%
Altro <1%
Valdez 5–10% <1%
$40,286 Vol.
$40,286 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Valdez oltre il 15%
99%
Valdez 10–15%
3%
Valdez 5–10%
<1%
Valdez <5%
<1%
Altro
<1%
Valdez oltre il 15% 98.8%
Valdez 10–15% 2.7%
Altro <1%
Valdez 5–10% <1%
$40,286 Vol.
$40,286 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Valdez oltre il 15%
$6,998 Vol.
99%
Valdez 10–15%
$7,795 Vol.
3%
Valdez 5–10%
$5,715 Vol.
<1%
Valdez <5%
$6,184 Vol.
<1%
Altro
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured the NY-07 Democratic nomination on June 23, 2026, with roughly 56-58% of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and other challengers, establishing a margin exceeding 20 points in early and final tallies. This outcome, driven by strong support in Brooklyn and Queens precincts plus backing from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, aligned with the district’s progressive leanings and the open-seat dynamics following Nydia Velázquez’s retirement. Trader consensus prices the 15%+ margin outcome near 99% because certified results and reporting leave little room for adjustment. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential late ballot processing, formal certification disputes, or recount triggers that could narrow the final certified spread.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$40,286Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured the NY-07 Democratic nomination on June 23, 2026, with roughly 56-58% of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and other challengers, establishing a margin exceeding 20 points in early and final tallies. This outcome, driven by strong support in Brooklyn and Queens precincts plus backing from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, aligned with the district’s progressive leanings and the open-seat dynamics following Nydia Velázquez’s retirement. Trader consensus prices the 15%+ margin outcome near 99% because certified results and reporting leave little room for adjustment. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential late ballot processing, formal certification disputes, or recount triggers that could narrow the final certified spread.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$40,286Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Claire Valdez secured the NY-07 Democratic nomination on June 23, 2026, with roughly 56-58% of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and other challengers, establishing a margin exceeding 20 points in early and final tallies. This outcome, driven by strong support in Brooklyn and Queens precincts plus backing from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, aligned with the district’s progressive leanings and the open-seat dynamics following Nydia Velázquez’s retirement. Trader consensus prices the 15%+ margin outcome near 99% because certified results and reporting leave little room for adjustment. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential late ballot processing, formal certification disputes, or recount triggers that could narrow the final certified spread.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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