Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under Thames Valley Police investigation for alleged misconduct in public office tied to his Epstein contacts, following his February 2026 arrest and release without charges. Traders assign a 97.5% probability he will not receive any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 resolution date, consistent with the extended timeline typically needed for charging decisions, court proceedings, and appeals in such cases. Legal experts note the high evidentiary bar for this offense and its infrequent successful prosecutions. Late developments, including newly disclosed evidence prompting formal charges or an expedited guilty verdict, represent the main paths that could still shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
3% probabilità
$220,983 Vol.
$220,983 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
$220,983 Vol.
$220,983 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under Thames Valley Police investigation for alleged misconduct in public office tied to his Epstein contacts, following his February 2026 arrest and release without charges. Traders assign a 97.5% probability he will not receive any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 resolution date, consistent with the extended timeline typically needed for charging decisions, court proceedings, and appeals in such cases. Legal experts note the high evidentiary bar for this offense and its infrequent successful prosecutions. Late developments, including newly disclosed evidence prompting formal charges or an expedited guilty verdict, represent the main paths that could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$220,983Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under Thames Valley Police investigation for alleged misconduct in public office tied to his Epstein contacts, following his February 2026 arrest and release without charges. Traders assign a 97.5% probability he will not receive any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 resolution date, consistent with the extended timeline typically needed for charging decisions, court proceedings, and appeals in such cases. Legal experts note the high evidentiary bar for this offense and its infrequent successful prosecutions. Late developments, including newly disclosed evidence prompting formal charges or an expedited guilty verdict, represent the main paths that could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$220,983Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor remains under Thames Valley Police investigation for alleged misconduct in public office tied to his Epstein contacts, following his February 2026 arrest and release without charges. Traders assign a 97.5% probability he will not receive any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 resolution date, consistent with the extended timeline typically needed for charging decisions, court proceedings, and appeals in such cases. Legal experts note the high evidentiary bar for this offense and its infrequent successful prosecutions. Late developments, including newly disclosed evidence prompting formal charges or an expedited guilty verdict, represent the main paths that could still shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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