The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026 arrives amid elevated public debt near 94% of GDP, rising gilt yields, and an energy-driven inflation spike that pushed CPI to 3.1% in August with further upside risks through 2027. Chancellor John Healey has emphasized adherence to existing fiscal rules while prioritizing devolution, regional investment, and growth measures, even as the government faces added defence commitments and pressures from frozen tax thresholds that have already lifted the tax-to-GDP ratio to multi-decade highs. Traders are weighing potential targeted relief on business rates or household energy costs against limited scope for broad tax cuts, with the Office for Budget Responsibility’s simultaneous forecast likely anchoring market-implied probabilities around the balance between spending restraint and targeted fiscal support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
28 ott 2026
Aumento della CGT
55%
Aumento delle accise sui carburanti
46%
Tassa sulla ricchezza
20%
Tassa sul valore del terreno
20%
$666 Vol.
Aumento della CGT
$446 Vol.
55%
Aumento delle accise sui carburanti
$155 Vol.
46%
Tassa sulla ricchezza
$35 Vol.
20%
Tassa sul valore del terreno
$30 Vol.
20%
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026 arrives amid elevated public debt near 94% of GDP, rising gilt yields, and an energy-driven inflation spike that pushed CPI to 3.1% in August with further upside risks through 2027. Chancellor John Healey has emphasized adherence to existing fiscal rules while prioritizing devolution, regional investment, and growth measures, even as the government faces added defence commitments and pressures from frozen tax thresholds that have already lifted the tax-to-GDP ratio to multi-decade highs. Traders are weighing potential targeted relief on business rates or household energy costs against limited scope for broad tax cuts, with the Office for Budget Responsibility’s simultaneous forecast likely anchoring market-implied probabilities around the balance between spending restraint and targeted fiscal support.
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$666Data di fine
29 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026 arrives amid elevated public debt near 94% of GDP, rising gilt yields, and an energy-driven inflation spike that pushed CPI to 3.1% in August with further upside risks through 2027. Chancellor John Healey has emphasized adherence to existing fiscal rules while prioritizing devolution, regional investment, and growth measures, even as the government faces added defence commitments and pressures from frozen tax thresholds that have already lifted the tax-to-GDP ratio to multi-decade highs. Traders are weighing potential targeted relief on business rates or household energy costs against limited scope for broad tax cuts, with the Office for Budget Responsibility’s simultaneous forecast likely anchoring market-implied probabilities around the balance between spending restraint and targeted fiscal support.
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$666Data di fine
29 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026 arrives amid elevated public debt near 94% of GDP, rising gilt yields, and an energy-driven inflation spike that pushed CPI to 3.1% in August with further upside risks through 2027. Chancellor John Healey has emphasized adherence to existing fiscal rules while prioritizing devolution, regional investment, and growth measures, even as the government faces added defence commitments and pressures from frozen tax thresholds that have already lifted the tax-to-GDP ratio to multi-decade highs. Traders are weighing potential targeted relief on business rates or household energy costs against limited scope for broad tax cuts, with the Office for Budget Responsibility’s simultaneous forecast likely anchoring market-implied probabilities around the balance between spending restraint and targeted fiscal support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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