Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 currently anchors the second-place position in frontier AI benchmarks, driving the market’s 74% implied probability for the company to hold that spot at the end of June. Recent leaderboards from Artificial Analysis and Vellum show OpenAI’s April-released GPT-5.5 variants claiming the top intelligence and math scores, while Claude maintains strong leads in coding, agentic tasks, and reasoning categories such as GPQA Diamond and SWE-Bench. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro series remains competitive in multimodal and abstract reasoning but trails in overall developer preference and consistent benchmark margins. With no major model launches scheduled before late June, traders view Anthropic’s established safety-focused architecture and recent updates as the most stable path to second place.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il secondo miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di giugno?
Quale azienda ha il secondo miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di giugno?
Anthropic 74%
Google 19%
OpenAI 7.6%
xAI 2.7%
$400,291 Vol.
$400,291 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Anthropic
74%
19%
OpenAI
8%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Microsoft
1%
Alibaba
1%
Meta
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 74%
Google 19%
OpenAI 7.6%
xAI 2.7%
$400,291 Vol.
$400,291 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Anthropic
$14,660 Vol.
74%
$5,606 Vol.
19%
OpenAI
$34,197 Vol.
8%
xAI
$14,881 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$248,799 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$5,532 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$6,585 Vol.
1%
Meta
$4,175 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$4,912 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$4,388 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$9,312 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$34,076 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$5,546 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$4,723 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,898 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 currently anchors the second-place position in frontier AI benchmarks, driving the market’s 74% implied probability for the company to hold that spot at the end of June. Recent leaderboards from Artificial Analysis and Vellum show OpenAI’s April-released GPT-5.5 variants claiming the top intelligence and math scores, while Claude maintains strong leads in coding, agentic tasks, and reasoning categories such as GPQA Diamond and SWE-Bench. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro series remains competitive in multimodal and abstract reasoning but trails in overall developer preference and consistent benchmark margins. With no major model launches scheduled before late June, traders view Anthropic’s established safety-focused architecture and recent updates as the most stable path to second place.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$400,291Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 currently anchors the second-place position in frontier AI benchmarks, driving the market’s 74% implied probability for the company to hold that spot at the end of June. Recent leaderboards from Artificial Analysis and Vellum show OpenAI’s April-released GPT-5.5 variants claiming the top intelligence and math scores, while Claude maintains strong leads in coding, agentic tasks, and reasoning categories such as GPQA Diamond and SWE-Bench. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro series remains competitive in multimodal and abstract reasoning but trails in overall developer preference and consistent benchmark margins. With no major model launches scheduled before late June, traders view Anthropic’s established safety-focused architecture and recent updates as the most stable path to second place.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$400,291Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 currently anchors the second-place position in frontier AI benchmarks, driving the market’s 74% implied probability for the company to hold that spot at the end of June. Recent leaderboards from Artificial Analysis and Vellum show OpenAI’s April-released GPT-5.5 variants claiming the top intelligence and math scores, while Claude maintains strong leads in coding, agentic tasks, and reasoning categories such as GPQA Diamond and SWE-Bench. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro series remains competitive in multimodal and abstract reasoning but trails in overall developer preference and consistent benchmark margins. With no major model launches scheduled before late June, traders view Anthropic’s established safety-focused architecture and recent updates as the most stable path to second place.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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