FIFA officials, including president Gianni Infantino, have repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, with the team scheduled to play group matches in the United States after relocating its training base to Mexico amid U.S. visa and travel restrictions. No formal disqualification, withdrawal, or AFC replacement process has been initiated under FIFA statutes, which govern how vacancies are filled only in narrow cases like bans or forfeits. Trader consensus reflected in the dominant "No Replacement" price aligns with these official positions and the absence of any binding geopolitical intervention. A realistic shift would require Iran to voluntarily withdraw or face an unprecedented FIFA sanction closer to kickoff, outcomes that remain remote given the tournament timeline and prior statements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale squadra sostituirà l'Iran ai Mondiali?
Quale squadra sostituirà l'Iran ai Mondiali?
No Replacement 99.8%
Other <1%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
$96,312 Vol.
$96,312 Vol.
31 ago 2026
No Replacement
100%
Other
<1%
Italy
<1%
UAE
<1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 99.8%
Other <1%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
$96,312 Vol.
$96,312 Vol.
31 ago 2026
No Replacement
$38,526 Vol.
100%
Other
$6,625 Vol.
<1%
Italy
$40,874 Vol.
<1%
UAE
$6,652 Vol.
<1%
Bolivia
$3,634 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA officials, including president Gianni Infantino, have repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, with the team scheduled to play group matches in the United States after relocating its training base to Mexico amid U.S. visa and travel restrictions. No formal disqualification, withdrawal, or AFC replacement process has been initiated under FIFA statutes, which govern how vacancies are filled only in narrow cases like bans or forfeits. Trader consensus reflected in the dominant "No Replacement" price aligns with these official positions and the absence of any binding geopolitical intervention. A realistic shift would require Iran to voluntarily withdraw or face an unprecedented FIFA sanction closer to kickoff, outcomes that remain remote given the tournament timeline and prior statements.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Volume
$96,312Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA officials, including president Gianni Infantino, have repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, with the team scheduled to play group matches in the United States after relocating its training base to Mexico amid U.S. visa and travel restrictions. No formal disqualification, withdrawal, or AFC replacement process has been initiated under FIFA statutes, which govern how vacancies are filled only in narrow cases like bans or forfeits. Trader consensus reflected in the dominant "No Replacement" price aligns with these official positions and the absence of any binding geopolitical intervention. A realistic shift would require Iran to voluntarily withdraw or face an unprecedented FIFA sanction closer to kickoff, outcomes that remain remote given the tournament timeline and prior statements.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$96,312Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA officials, including president Gianni Infantino, have repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, with the team scheduled to play group matches in the United States after relocating its training base to Mexico amid U.S. visa and travel restrictions. No formal disqualification, withdrawal, or AFC replacement process has been initiated under FIFA statutes, which govern how vacancies are filled only in narrow cases like bans or forfeits. Trader consensus reflected in the dominant "No Replacement" price aligns with these official positions and the absence of any binding geopolitical intervention. A realistic shift would require Iran to voluntarily withdraw or face an unprecedented FIFA sanction closer to kickoff, outcomes that remain remote given the tournament timeline and prior statements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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