The closely balanced 52.5% market-implied odds for "No" reflect the art market's uneven recovery and selective supply of nine-figure works. May 2026 auctions delivered a Jackson Pollock drip painting for $181.2 million alongside strong results for Brâncuși, Rothko, and others, confirming buyer appetite at the top end and pushing totals past $2.5 billion for the season. Yet the absence of comparable lots since then, combined with typical post-spring lull and cautious positioning by major collectors, has kept sentiment split. Key swing factors include November's marquee evening sales at Christie's and Sotheby's, potential private-treaty deals from prominent estates, and any late-year consignments that could push another modernist or postwar masterpiece past the threshold before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUn'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?
Un'opera d'arte sarà venduta per $150 milioni entro il 31 dicembre?
Sì
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 gen 2027
Sì
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 gen 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".The closely balanced 52.5% market-implied odds for "No" reflect the art market's uneven recovery and selective supply of nine-figure works. May 2026 auctions delivered a Jackson Pollock drip painting for $181.2 million alongside strong results for Brâncuși, Rothko, and others, confirming buyer appetite at the top end and pushing totals past $2.5 billion for the season. Yet the absence of comparable lots since then, combined with typical post-spring lull and cautious positioning by major collectors, has kept sentiment split. Key swing factors include November's marquee evening sales at Christie's and Sotheby's, potential private-treaty deals from prominent estates, and any late-year consignments that could push another modernist or postwar masterpiece past the threshold before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,194Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".The closely balanced 52.5% market-implied odds for "No" reflect the art market's uneven recovery and selective supply of nine-figure works. May 2026 auctions delivered a Jackson Pollock drip painting for $181.2 million alongside strong results for Brâncuși, Rothko, and others, confirming buyer appetite at the top end and pushing totals past $2.5 billion for the season. Yet the absence of comparable lots since then, combined with typical post-spring lull and cautious positioning by major collectors, has kept sentiment split. Key swing factors include November's marquee evening sales at Christie's and Sotheby's, potential private-treaty deals from prominent estates, and any late-year consignments that could push another modernist or postwar masterpiece past the threshold before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,194Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely balanced 52.5% market-implied odds for "No" reflect the art market's uneven recovery and selective supply of nine-figure works. May 2026 auctions delivered a Jackson Pollock drip painting for $181.2 million alongside strong results for Brâncuși, Rothko, and others, confirming buyer appetite at the top end and pushing totals past $2.5 billion for the season. Yet the absence of comparable lots since then, combined with typical post-spring lull and cautious positioning by major collectors, has kept sentiment split. Key swing factors include November's marquee evening sales at Christie's and Sotheby's, potential private-treaty deals from prominent estates, and any late-year consignments that could push another modernist or postwar masterpiece past the threshold before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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