Rockstar’s June 2026 official announcement locking the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI at $79.99 has anchored the 97.5% market-implied odds for “No” on a $100+ price tag. Traders cite the company’s history of premium-but-not-extreme pricing, the $10 bump from prior $70 norms, and the separate $99.99 Ultimate Edition that bundles cosmetics rather than redefining the base game. Strong pre-order tracking, absence of any late price hikes, and consumer expectations around AAA launches reinforce consensus ahead of the November 19 release. A realistic upset would require an unprecedented last-minute standard-edition increase, which remains improbable given the confirmed structure and industry pushback risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGTA 6 costerà più di $100?
Sì
$372,544 Vol.
$372,544 Vol.
Sì
$372,544 Vol.
$372,544 Vol.
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Rockstar’s June 2026 official announcement locking the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI at $79.99 has anchored the 97.5% market-implied odds for “No” on a $100+ price tag. Traders cite the company’s history of premium-but-not-extreme pricing, the $10 bump from prior $70 norms, and the separate $99.99 Ultimate Edition that bundles cosmetics rather than redefining the base game. Strong pre-order tracking, absence of any late price hikes, and consumer expectations around AAA launches reinforce consensus ahead of the November 19 release. A realistic upset would require an unprecedented last-minute standard-edition increase, which remains improbable given the confirmed structure and industry pushback risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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