Anthropic’s 86.5% market-implied probability of listing first stems primarily from its June 1, 2026 confidential S-1 filing and active preparations for a September or October debut, backed by a recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation and engagement with lead banks including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. In contrast, OpenAI’s later June filing has been followed by reports of leadership considering a 2027 timeline after initial late-2026 targets, creating a clear sequencing advantage for Anthropic. Traders are pricing in the mechanical lead time required for SEC review and roadshow execution, with Anthropic’s momentum in enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models reinforcing the consensus ahead of potential catalysts like public S-1 releases or final pricing decisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnthropic
87% probabilità
$284,622 Vol.
$284,622 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
87% probabilità
$284,622 Vol.
$284,622 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s 86.5% market-implied probability of listing first stems primarily from its June 1, 2026 confidential S-1 filing and active preparations for a September or October debut, backed by a recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation and engagement with lead banks including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. In contrast, OpenAI’s later June filing has been followed by reports of leadership considering a 2027 timeline after initial late-2026 targets, creating a clear sequencing advantage for Anthropic. Traders are pricing in the mechanical lead time required for SEC review and roadshow execution, with Anthropic’s momentum in enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models reinforcing the consensus ahead of potential catalysts like public S-1 releases or final pricing decisions.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$284,622Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s 86.5% market-implied probability of listing first stems primarily from its June 1, 2026 confidential S-1 filing and active preparations for a September or October debut, backed by a recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation and engagement with lead banks including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. In contrast, OpenAI’s later June filing has been followed by reports of leadership considering a 2027 timeline after initial late-2026 targets, creating a clear sequencing advantage for Anthropic. Traders are pricing in the mechanical lead time required for SEC review and roadshow execution, with Anthropic’s momentum in enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models reinforcing the consensus ahead of potential catalysts like public S-1 releases or final pricing decisions.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$284,622Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s 86.5% market-implied probability of listing first stems primarily from its June 1, 2026 confidential S-1 filing and active preparations for a September or October debut, backed by a recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation and engagement with lead banks including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. In contrast, OpenAI’s later June filing has been followed by reports of leadership considering a 2027 timeline after initial late-2026 targets, creating a clear sequencing advantage for Anthropic. Traders are pricing in the mechanical lead time required for SEC review and roadshow execution, with Anthropic’s momentum in enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models reinforcing the consensus ahead of potential catalysts like public S-1 releases or final pricing decisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Anthropic sarà pari o superiore a 600 miliardi di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?
96%
Sì
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
64%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
19%
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