Recent U.S. military actions in Latin America, including the January 2026 special operations raid in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro and ongoing counternarcotics strikes on vessels, have relied on targeted strikes, partner-nation cooperation, and designations of criminal groups as terrorists rather than large-scale invasions or occupations. Drone deployments to South America and joint planning with Ecuador, Colombia, and others signal escalation in enforcement but emphasize allied operations over unilateral ground campaigns. Heightened sanctions and naval pressure on Cuba persist without crossing into invasion, while competing priorities such as the Iran conflict and domestic midterms limit bandwidth for new major commitments. These patterns underpin trader expectations that no full-scale U.S. invasion of a Latin American country will occur in the remainder of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
7% probabilità
$277,090 Vol.
$277,090 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
$277,090 Vol.
$277,090 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent U.S. military actions in Latin America, including the January 2026 special operations raid in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro and ongoing counternarcotics strikes on vessels, have relied on targeted strikes, partner-nation cooperation, and designations of criminal groups as terrorists rather than large-scale invasions or occupations. Drone deployments to South America and joint planning with Ecuador, Colombia, and others signal escalation in enforcement but emphasize allied operations over unilateral ground campaigns. Heightened sanctions and naval pressure on Cuba persist without crossing into invasion, while competing priorities such as the Iran conflict and domestic midterms limit bandwidth for new major commitments. These patterns underpin trader expectations that no full-scale U.S. invasion of a Latin American country will occur in the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$277,090Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent U.S. military actions in Latin America, including the January 2026 special operations raid in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro and ongoing counternarcotics strikes on vessels, have relied on targeted strikes, partner-nation cooperation, and designations of criminal groups as terrorists rather than large-scale invasions or occupations. Drone deployments to South America and joint planning with Ecuador, Colombia, and others signal escalation in enforcement but emphasize allied operations over unilateral ground campaigns. Heightened sanctions and naval pressure on Cuba persist without crossing into invasion, while competing priorities such as the Iran conflict and domestic midterms limit bandwidth for new major commitments. These patterns underpin trader expectations that no full-scale U.S. invasion of a Latin American country will occur in the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$277,090Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. military actions in Latin America, including the January 2026 special operations raid in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro and ongoing counternarcotics strikes on vessels, have relied on targeted strikes, partner-nation cooperation, and designations of criminal groups as terrorists rather than large-scale invasions or occupations. Drone deployments to South America and joint planning with Ecuador, Colombia, and others signal escalation in enforcement but emphasize allied operations over unilateral ground campaigns. Heightened sanctions and naval pressure on Cuba persist without crossing into invasion, while competing priorities such as the Iran conflict and domestic midterms limit bandwidth for new major commitments. These patterns underpin trader expectations that no full-scale U.S. invasion of a Latin American country will occur in the remainder of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti