The US military operation in January 2026 that captured Nicolás Maduro through targeted strikes and special forces action has not prompted a formal congressional declaration of war under Article I, despite debates over the War Powers Resolution and related Senate measures. Trader pricing for a "Yes" outcome by June 30, 2026, remains near zero because the episode stayed within executive authorities, with no subsequent escalation to sustained hostilities or legislative authorization. Venezuela's interim leadership transition and ongoing regional diplomatic responses have not altered this trajectory. Any shift would require explicit congressional action on a declaration amid competing priorities, though historical patterns show such formal steps are rare absent broader conflict.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$4,198,386 Vol.
31 dic 2025
June 30, 2026
<1%
$4,198,386 Vol.
June 30, 2026
$3,432,961 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The US military operation in January 2026 that captured Nicolás Maduro through targeted strikes and special forces action has not prompted a formal congressional declaration of war under Article I, despite debates over the War Powers Resolution and related Senate measures. Trader pricing for a "Yes" outcome by June 30, 2026, remains near zero because the episode stayed within executive authorities, with no subsequent escalation to sustained hostilities or legislative authorization. Venezuela's interim leadership transition and ongoing regional diplomatic responses have not altered this trajectory. Any shift would require explicit congressional action on a declaration amid competing priorities, though historical patterns show such formal steps are rare absent broader conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$4,198,386Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The US military operation in January 2026 that captured Nicolás Maduro through targeted strikes and special forces action has not prompted a formal congressional declaration of war under Article I, despite debates over the War Powers Resolution and related Senate measures. Trader pricing for a "Yes" outcome by June 30, 2026, remains near zero because the episode stayed within executive authorities, with no subsequent escalation to sustained hostilities or legislative authorization. Venezuela's interim leadership transition and ongoing regional diplomatic responses have not altered this trajectory. Any shift would require explicit congressional action on a declaration amid competing priorities, though historical patterns show such formal steps are rare absent broader conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,198,386Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US military operation in January 2026 that captured Nicolás Maduro through targeted strikes and special forces action has not prompted a formal congressional declaration of war under Article I, despite debates over the War Powers Resolution and related Senate measures. Trader pricing for a "Yes" outcome by June 30, 2026, remains near zero because the episode stayed within executive authorities, with no subsequent escalation to sustained hostilities or legislative authorization. Venezuela's interim leadership transition and ongoing regional diplomatic responses have not altered this trajectory. Any shift would require explicit congressional action on a declaration amid competing priorities, though historical patterns show such formal steps are rare absent broader conflict.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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