The high trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits in 2026 stems primarily from the rigorous constitutional amendment process required under Article V, which demands two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states. Recent developments, including limited 2025 resolutions such as H.J.Res.29 proposing expanded eligibility and scattered public comments from President Trump on potential paths forward, have generated discussion but produced no legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. With midterm elections approaching and divided state legislatures, the structural barriers remain formidable. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid changes in congressional composition after 2026 midterms, an unforeseen constitutional convention, or novel judicial interpretations of the 22nd Amendment that bypass formal repeal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato5% probabilità
$12,999 Vol.
$12,999 Vol.
31 dic 2026
5% probabilità
$12,999 Vol.
$12,999 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The high trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits in 2026 stems primarily from the rigorous constitutional amendment process required under Article V, which demands two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states. Recent developments, including limited 2025 resolutions such as H.J.Res.29 proposing expanded eligibility and scattered public comments from President Trump on potential paths forward, have generated discussion but produced no legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. With midterm elections approaching and divided state legislatures, the structural barriers remain formidable. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid changes in congressional composition after 2026 midterms, an unforeseen constitutional convention, or novel judicial interpretations of the 22nd Amendment that bypass formal repeal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Mercato aperto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$12,999Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The high trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits in 2026 stems primarily from the rigorous constitutional amendment process required under Article V, which demands two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states. Recent developments, including limited 2025 resolutions such as H.J.Res.29 proposing expanded eligibility and scattered public comments from President Trump on potential paths forward, have generated discussion but produced no legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. With midterm elections approaching and divided state legislatures, the structural barriers remain formidable. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid changes in congressional composition after 2026 midterms, an unforeseen constitutional convention, or novel judicial interpretations of the 22nd Amendment that bypass formal repeal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Volume
$12,999Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits in 2026 stems primarily from the rigorous constitutional amendment process required under Article V, which demands two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states. Recent developments, including limited 2025 resolutions such as H.J.Res.29 proposing expanded eligibility and scattered public comments from President Trump on potential paths forward, have generated discussion but produced no legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. With midterm elections approaching and divided state legislatures, the structural barriers remain formidable. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid changes in congressional composition after 2026 midterms, an unforeseen constitutional convention, or novel judicial interpretations of the 22nd Amendment that bypass formal repeal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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