The 22nd Amendment’s two-term limit creates formidable structural barriers to repeal, requiring two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-fourths of the states. Trader consensus at 97% against repeal in 2026 reflects the absence of any viable legislative pathway, with only a single symbolic House proposal introduced in early 2025 that never advanced. Recent comments from President Trump acknowledging the amendment’s strength, combined with narrow Republican congressional margins heading into the November 2026 midterms, reinforce expectations that no amendment process will begin this year. A realistic shift would require unprecedented partisan realignment or a constitutional convention, neither of which appears imminent given current institutional thresholds and historical precedent for such changes.