Trump's diplomatic engagement with Gaza centers on his 20-point peace plan, the Board of Peace, and phased ceasefire implementation involving reconstruction, disarmament talks, and an international stabilization force, without any announced plans for a personal presidential visit. Ongoing instability—including recent Israeli strikes, stalled second-phase negotiations, and Netanyahu's rejection of key elements—reinforces security barriers and risk assessments that historically limit U.S. leaders' travel to active or transitional conflict zones. Traders assign 95.1% probability to "No" based on this pattern of remote oversight through envoys and institutions. A major verified breakthrough, such as full disarmament and stable governance enabling a high-level summit, remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before year's end.