**Apple shares closed at $309.35 on August 21, 2026, following a pullback from July highs near $344 and recent trading in the $305–$320 range amid elevated volatility.** Strong fiscal Q3 results (reported July 30) showed 16% revenue growth to $109.4 billion and 29% EPS growth to $2.02, driven by iPhone and Services records, yet forward guidance highlighted persistent headwinds from rising memory and chip costs, foreign-exchange pressure, and supply constraints that could compress margins in the September quarter. The closely matched market-implied odds around $310–$325 reflect trader uncertainty tied to the September 1 CEO transition to John Ternus, ongoing AI refocus (including targeted job cuts), EU regulatory adjustments to App Store terms, and broader macro influences on mega-cap tech valuations. With the next earnings release scheduled for October 29 and no major near-term catalysts in the final week of August, price action will likely hinge on daily market sentiment, memory-cost updates, and any early signals around iPhone 17 positioning or Apple Intelligence adoption. These dynamics create a narrow, contested probability distribution rather than a decisive directional bias.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$290-$295 48%
$300-$305 48%
$305-$310 48%
$310-$315 48%
<$285
48%
$285-$290
48%
$290-$295
48%
$295-$300
48%
$300-$305
48%
$305-$310
48%
$310-$315
48%
$315-$320
47%
$320-$325
48%
$325-$330
11%
>$330
47%
$290-$295 48%
$300-$305 48%
$305-$310 48%
$310-$315 48%
<$285
48%
$285-$290
48%
$290-$295
48%
$295-$300
48%
$300-$305
48%
$305-$310
48%
$310-$315
48%
$315-$320
47%
$320-$325
48%
$325-$330
11%
>$330
47%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
**Apple shares closed at $309.35 on August 21, 2026, following a pullback from July highs near $344 and recent trading in the $305–$320 range amid elevated volatility.** Strong fiscal Q3 results (reported July 30) showed 16% revenue growth to $109.4 billion and 29% EPS growth to $2.02, driven by iPhone and Services records, yet forward guidance highlighted persistent headwinds from rising memory and chip costs, foreign-exchange pressure, and supply constraints that could compress margins in the September quarter. The closely matched market-implied odds around $310–$325 reflect trader uncertainty tied to the September 1 CEO transition to John Ternus, ongoing AI refocus (including targeted job cuts), EU regulatory adjustments to App Store terms, and broader macro influences on mega-cap tech valuations. With the next earnings release scheduled for October 29 and no major near-term catalysts in the final week of August, price action will likely hinge on daily market sentiment, memory-cost updates, and any early signals around iPhone 17 positioning or Apple Intelligence adoption. These dynamics create a narrow, contested probability distribution rather than a decisive directional bias.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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