Canada’s federal election cycle follows a fixed-date framework under the Canada Elections Act, with the next scheduled vote in October 2029 following the April 2025 contest that produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Liberals later secured a majority through by-elections and floor crossings by spring 2026, reducing immediate pressure for a snap dissolution. Recent by-elections set for August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer further opportunities to consolidate seats without triggering a general election. With the governing party holding a working majority and no confidence threats materializing, trader consensus assigns low probability to Parliament dissolving before year-end 2026, though a sudden shift in polling, economic conditions, or opposition maneuvers could alter timing within the five-year constitutional window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$93,799 Vol.
2026/12/31
2026年12月31日
6%
$93,799 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$2,142 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s federal election cycle follows a fixed-date framework under the Canada Elections Act, with the next scheduled vote in October 2029 following the April 2025 contest that produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Liberals later secured a majority through by-elections and floor crossings by spring 2026, reducing immediate pressure for a snap dissolution. Recent by-elections set for August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer further opportunities to consolidate seats without triggering a general election. With the governing party holding a working majority and no confidence threats materializing, trader consensus assigns low probability to Parliament dissolving before year-end 2026, though a sudden shift in polling, economic conditions, or opposition maneuvers could alter timing within the five-year constitutional window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
音量
$93,799終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s federal election cycle follows a fixed-date framework under the Canada Elections Act, with the next scheduled vote in October 2029 following the April 2025 contest that produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Liberals later secured a majority through by-elections and floor crossings by spring 2026, reducing immediate pressure for a snap dissolution. Recent by-elections set for August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer further opportunities to consolidate seats without triggering a general election. With the governing party holding a working majority and no confidence threats materializing, trader consensus assigns low probability to Parliament dissolving before year-end 2026, though a sudden shift in polling, economic conditions, or opposition maneuvers could alter timing within the five-year constitutional window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$93,799終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal election cycle follows a fixed-date framework under the Canada Elections Act, with the next scheduled vote in October 2029 following the April 2025 contest that produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Liberals later secured a majority through by-elections and floor crossings by spring 2026, reducing immediate pressure for a snap dissolution. Recent by-elections set for August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer further opportunities to consolidate seats without triggering a general election. With the governing party holding a working majority and no confidence threats materializing, trader consensus assigns low probability to Parliament dissolving before year-end 2026, though a sudden shift in polling, economic conditions, or opposition maneuvers could alter timing within the five-year constitutional window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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