Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily through mid-2026, reaching 6.4% in July after peaking near 7.1% in 2025, supported by net employment gains of 75,000 that month and a rising labor force participation rate. This trajectory remains well below the elevated levels observed in 2016 and reflects resilient private-sector hiring alongside Bank of Canada monetary policy that has eased prior tightening pressures. Trader consensus for "No" at 93.3% incorporates these improving labor-market indicators and consensus forecasts averaging around 6.5% for the full year. A sudden escalation in U.S. tariffs or sharper contraction in GDP could still push the rate higher, though current data show limited evidence of such a reversal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
新規
新規
2027/02/14
はい
7% 確率
新規
新規
2027/02/14
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily through mid-2026, reaching 6.4% in July after peaking near 7.1% in 2025, supported by net employment gains of 75,000 that month and a rising labor force participation rate. This trajectory remains well below the elevated levels observed in 2016 and reflects resilient private-sector hiring alongside Bank of Canada monetary policy that has eased prior tightening pressures. Trader consensus for "No" at 93.3% incorporates these improving labor-market indicators and consensus forecasts averaging around 6.5% for the full year. A sudden escalation in U.S. tariffs or sharper contraction in GDP could still push the rate higher, though current data show limited evidence of such a reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
マーケット開始日： Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
音量
$9,375終了日
2027/02/15マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily through mid-2026, reaching 6.4% in July after peaking near 7.1% in 2025, supported by net employment gains of 75,000 that month and a rising labor force participation rate. This trajectory remains well below the elevated levels observed in 2016 and reflects resilient private-sector hiring alongside Bank of Canada monetary policy that has eased prior tightening pressures. Trader consensus for "No" at 93.3% incorporates these improving labor-market indicators and consensus forecasts averaging around 6.5% for the full year. A sudden escalation in U.S. tariffs or sharper contraction in GDP could still push the rate higher, though current data show limited evidence of such a reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
音量
$9,375終了日
2027/02/15マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily through mid-2026, reaching 6.4% in July after peaking near 7.1% in 2025, supported by net employment gains of 75,000 that month and a rising labor force participation rate. This trajectory remains well below the elevated levels observed in 2016 and reflects resilient private-sector hiring alongside Bank of Canada monetary policy that has eased prior tightening pressures. Trader consensus for "No" at 93.3% incorporates these improving labor-market indicators and consensus forecasts averaging around 6.5% for the full year. A sudden escalation in U.S. tariffs or sharper contraction in GDP could still push the rate higher, though current data show limited evidence of such a reversal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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