Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily in 2026, falling to 6.4% in July from 6.9% in April amid net job gains of 75,000 that month and broader labor force expansion. This trajectory, the lowest level in two years, keeps the full-year average near 6.6%—well below the roughly 7% peaks recorded in 2016 and 2025—supporting the 92.8% market-implied probability that 2026 will not post the highest rate since then. Trader consensus reflects improving employment trends and Bank of Canada policy stability, though elevated U.S. tariffs effective mid-August and energy price swings could reverse gains if they materially weaken hiring in the fourth quarter.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
新規
新規
2027/02/15
はい
7% 確率
新規
新規
2027/02/15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily in 2026, falling to 6.4% in July from 6.9% in April amid net job gains of 75,000 that month and broader labor force expansion. This trajectory, the lowest level in two years, keeps the full-year average near 6.6%—well below the roughly 7% peaks recorded in 2016 and 2025—supporting the 92.8% market-implied probability that 2026 will not post the highest rate since then. Trader consensus reflects improving employment trends and Bank of Canada policy stability, though elevated U.S. tariffs effective mid-August and energy price swings could reverse gains if they materially weaken hiring in the fourth quarter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
マーケット開始日： Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
音量
$9,375終了日
2027/02/15マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily in 2026, falling to 6.4% in July from 6.9% in April amid net job gains of 75,000 that month and broader labor force expansion. This trajectory, the lowest level in two years, keeps the full-year average near 6.6%—well below the roughly 7% peaks recorded in 2016 and 2025—supporting the 92.8% market-implied probability that 2026 will not post the highest rate since then. Trader consensus reflects improving employment trends and Bank of Canada policy stability, though elevated U.S. tariffs effective mid-August and energy price swings could reverse gains if they materially weaken hiring in the fourth quarter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
音量
$9,375終了日
2027/02/15マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's unemployment rate has declined steadily in 2026, falling to 6.4% in July from 6.9% in April amid net job gains of 75,000 that month and broader labor force expansion. This trajectory, the lowest level in two years, keeps the full-year average near 6.6%—well below the roughly 7% peaks recorded in 2016 and 2025—supporting the 92.8% market-implied probability that 2026 will not post the highest rate since then. Trader consensus reflects improving employment trends and Bank of Canada policy stability, though elevated U.S. tariffs effective mid-August and energy price swings could reverse gains if they materially weaken hiring in the fourth quarter.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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