Amish Shah’s victory in the open AZ-01 seat produced a confirmed Democratic margin near 7 points once nearly all ballots were tallied after the November 3 election. Final unofficial counts placed Shah at roughly 52.4 percent to Republican Jay Feely’s 45.5 percent, locking the result inside the 6-9 percent range that now dominates trader pricing. The outcome aligned with late-cycle polling averages showing a modest Democratic edge and reflected broader 2026 Arizona trends that delivered Democratic gains across multiple House districts. With more than 98 percent of votes reported and the margin stable, only narrow shifts in remaining provisional or mail ballots could alter the bucket, though such changes appear unlikely to move the result outside the current consensus band.